Little Rock Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 11/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Little Rock Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (4-2) welcome the Little Rock Trojans (2-3) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday.

The Little Rock Trojans faced off with Murray State and ended up losing by a score of 89-68 in their last game. Little Rock wrapped up the contest with a 44.3% FG percentage (27 of 61) and converted 2 of their 6 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Trojans buried 12 of their 16 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they earned 33 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 11 dimes in the matchup while creating 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In the matter of the defense, Little Rock allowed the other team to go 50.9% from the field on 29 out of 57 shooting. Murray State totaled 15 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Murray State collected 29 boards (10 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Murray State finished the game shooting 73.9% from the free throw line by making 17 of 23 attempts. They converted 14 out of their 30 attempts from beyond the perimeter. In reference to personal fouls, the Trojans ended up finishing with 19 while Murray State finished the game with 17 personal fouls.

Johnathan Lawson is a player who was a major contributor for the game. He ended up shooting 42.9% from the field and also dished out 5 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and also grabbed 6 boards. He ended up finishing with 17 points on 6 out of 14 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Tonight

Little Rock heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 2-3 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 17.4 times per contest and as a unit they commit 17.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Little Rock is pulling in 33.6 boards per game and has tallied 72 dimes so far this year, which is 158th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Trojans are shooting 46.3% on shots from 3-point land (31 of 67) and 58.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 69.8 points per contest (311th in the country) while connecting on 47.4% from the floor.

On defense, the Trojans are forcing 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 15.8 fouls. They currently rank 288th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 76 surrendered this season. The Trojans defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 48.6% (138 of 284) and they relinquish 29.2 rebounds per contest as a team. They relinquish 41.5% from 3-point land while they are 277th in D-1 in PPG allowed (79.0).

The last time they took the court, the Texas State Bobcats got the win with a final of 63-49 when they faced Abilene Christian. The Bobcats collected 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 33 for this contest. They coughed it up 18 times, while earning 11 steals in this contest. Abilene Christian earned 19 personal fouls for this contest which got the Bobcats to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They were able to convert 16 of the free throws for a percentage of 72.7%. In the matter of shots from beyond the perimeter, Texas State converted 5 of 8 attempts (62.5%). When the final whistle was blown, the Bobcats went 21 for 46 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.7%. The Bobcats permitted Abilene Christian to bury 17 out of 55 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.9% for the contest. They finished 33.3% from distance by going 5 of 15 and ended up going 10 of 19 from the free throw line (52.6%). When it comes to team rebounding, Texas State allowed Abilene Christian to grab 27 overall (12 on the offensive side).

Dimp Pernell was important for the Bobcats in this game. He buried 4 out of 6 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 2 rebounds. He earned 13 points in his 19 minutes of playing time and accumulated 2 dimes for the game.

Texas State has a record of 4-2 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bobcats are hitting on 47.6% from the floor, which is ranked 107th in the nation. Texas State has totaled 453 points on the campaign (75.5 per game) and they grab 37.0 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 13.3 times per contest (244th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 14.5 times per contest. The Bobcats are committing 18.7 fouls per contest and they hit 75.6% from the charity stripe.

The Bobcats on the defensive end are ranked 81st in college in points allowed per contest with 67.0. They have forced 14.2 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.8% from the floor (100th in college hoops). The Texas State defense surrenders 32.5% on shots from distance (39 of 120) and opponents are knocking down 71.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 9.8 dimes and 31.0 rebounds every game, which ranks 35th and 60th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Little Rock

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.