Missouri State Bears vs Xavier Musketeers Prediction, 12/12/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs Xavier Musketeers

Date: Friday, December 12, 2025

Location: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN+

Cintas Center is the site where the Xavier Musketeers (7-3) will go up against the Missouri State Bears (4-4) on Friday.

The Missouri State Bears took the court against Tulsa and took a loss by a final of 98-74 in their last contest. Missouri State wrapped up the game with a 49.0% field goal percentage (25 out of 51) and converted 13 of 26 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Bears converted 11 of 19 attempts for a rate of 57.9%. In relation to rebounding, they earned 20 with 4 of them being offensive. They also distributed 12 assists for this game while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In regard to defending, Missouri State let their opponent shoot 47.6% from the floor on 30 out of 63 shooting. Tulsa recorded 19 assists and had 8 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Tulsa snagged 33 boards (11 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Tulsa shot 80.0% at the free throw line by making 24 of their 30 attempts. They also converted 14 of their 33 tries from downtown. In regard to personal fouls, the Bears ended up with 21 while Tulsa finished the game with 14 personal fouls.

Kobi Williams is someone who played a role in this contest. He ended up walking away with 20 points on 7 of 10 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 29 minutes played and totaled 4 rebounds. He finished the game at 70.0% from the floor and also dished out 2 assists.

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Missouri State comes into this matchup with a record of 4-4 on the year. They are turning it over 11.1 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 16.5 fouls every game. As a team, Missouri State is collecting 36.4 boards per contest and has tallied 119 assists for the season, which is 297th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Bears are hitting 29.7% on 3-point shots (58 of 195) and 67.5% from the charity stripe. They average 78.6 points per game (161st in college) while shooting 45.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Bears are able to force 12.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They are ranked 88th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 111 surrendered for the campaign. The Bears defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.9% (217 of 483) and they surrender 35.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 32.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 203rd in college in PPG allowed (73.9).

The last time they took the court, the Xavier Musketeers walked away with a victory by a final of 79-74 when they faced Cincinnati. In the matter of attacking the glass, Xavier permitted Cincinnati to get 48 in all (13 on the offensive glass). They shot 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 11 of 33 and finished the contest at 11 of 22 from the free throw line (50.0%). The Musketeers allowed Cincinnati to make 26 of 69 tries from the floor which left them shooting 37.7% for the contest. Overall, the Musketeers finished the game shooting 30 out of 64 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.9%. In relation to shooting from distance, Xavier made 6 out of 28 tries (21.4%). They were able to knock down 13 of them for a clip of 56.5%. Cincinnati earned 18 personal fouls for the contest which got the Musketeers to the charity stripe for 23 tries. They also turned the ball over 4 times, while earning 5 steals in this game. The Musketeers earned 31 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the contest.

Tre Carroll ended up being a major contributor for the Musketeers for this contest. He recorded 30 points in his 35 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for this game. He made 14 out of 23 in the game giving him a rate of 60.9%, and had 7 rebounds.

Xavier has a mark of 7-3 so far this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Musketeers are hitting on 42.5% from the floor, which is ranked 302nd in the nation. Xavier has accumulated 787 points for the campaign (78.7 per contest) and they pull in 36.2 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 18.5 times per game (32nd in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.1 times per game. The Musketeers are responsible for committing 16.7 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 68.1% from the free throw line.

The Xavier defense allows 31.1% on three-point shots (60 of 193) and opponents are making 67.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 16.9 dimes and 37.9 total boards per game, which is ranked 337th and 310th in those categories. The Musketeers on the defensive side of the court are 176th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 72.9. They are able to force 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 45.9% from the field (293rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Missouri State

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