Morgan State Bears vs San Francisco Dons Prediction, 12/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Morgan State Bears vs San Francisco Dons

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: The Sobrato Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Sobrato Center is where the San Francisco Dons (7-5) will attempt to defeat the Morgan State Bears (2-8) on Sunday.

The Morgan State Bears faced Niagara and took home the win by a score of 81-73 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Bears left the arena with 22 while Niagara accumulated 20 personal fouls. They made 7 of their 21 tries from long range. Niagara ended up going 73.7% from the free throw line by burying 14 of their 19 shots. Moreover, Niagara pulled down 8 rebounds (3 offensive, 5 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Niagara doled out 16 assists and had 10 steals in this game. In terms of the defense, Morgan State allowed the other team to shoot 49.1% from the field on 26 of 53 shooting. They also dished out 13 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In reference to rebounding, they earned 29 with 6 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Bears converted 18 of 21 shots for a rate of 85.7%. Morgan State ended the game with a 61.4% FG percentage (27 of 44) and buried 9 of their 20 shots from downtown.

Alfred Worrell Jr. is one guy who was a contributor in the game. He finished shooting 87.5% from the field but didn't record an assist. He played 30 minutes and also collected 4 rebounds. He accumulated 24 points on 7 out of 8 shooting.

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Morgan State steps onto the court with a mark of 2-8 so far this season. They are averaging 72.7 pts per game (287th in Division 1) while connecting on 42.5% from the field. The Bears are connecting on 29.2% on three-point attempts (52 of 178) and 76.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Morgan State is pulling in 33.3 rebounds per game and is sitting with 123 assists on the year, which is 344th in college hoops in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 13.8 times per contest and as a team are committing 21.5 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Bears are able to force 12.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.2 fouls. They currently rank 281st in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 172 surrendered on the campaign. The Bears defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 50.0% (268 of 536) and they relinquish 33.2 rebounds per contest as a team. They are conceding 35.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 329th in college in opponents points per game (81.8).

The last time they took the hardwood, the San Francisco Dons got the victory with a final of 85-71 when they faced Loyola. The Dons were able to pull down 22 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 27 for the matchup. They also turned it over 4 times, while earning 3 steals in this contest. Loyola was called for 20 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Dons to the free throw line for a total of 26 tries. They were able to knock down 18 of those for a clip of 69.2%. In the matter of three-point attempts, San Francisco made 13 of 27 attempts (48.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Dons finished the game shooting 27 out of 51 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.9%. The Dons allowed Loyola to convert 22 of their 51 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 43.1% for this game. They finished shooting 16.7% from distance by shooting 3 out of 18 and finished the game at 24 of 33 from the free throw line (72.7%). With respect to attacking the glass, San Francisco permitted Loyola to get 27 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Tyrone Riley IV ended up being a factor for the Dons for the game. He buried 7 of 10 for the game giving him a rate of 70.0%, and had 9 rebounds. He totaled 22 points in his 35 mins of playing time and totaled 1 assist in this matchup.

San Francisco has a mark of 7-5 for the year. The Dons are committing 18.1 personal fouls every game and they shoot 70.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.1 times per game (144th in college) and they turn it over 11.5 times per contest. San Francisco has totaled 906 pts so far this season (75.5 per contest) and they collect 37.0 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Dons are hitting on 45.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 189th in college.

The San Francisco defense allows 31.5% on three-point shots (80 of 254) and opponents are connecting on 67.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 12.9 dimes and 33.8 rebounds per game, which ranks them 153rd and 140th in the nation. The Dons on defense are ranked 101st in college in points allowed per game with 69.6. They are forcing 9.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.3% from the floor (89th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco

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