Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 11/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (1-2) are traveling to Fifth Third Arena on Sunday where they will meet the Cincinnati Bearcats (3-0).

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers took the court against Saint Francis and went home with a win by a final score of 74-66 in their last contest. Mount St. Mary's wrapped up the game with a 51.9% FG percentage (27 of 52) and made 13 of 30 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Mountaineers knocked down 7 of 18 tries for a rate of 38.9%. Concerning getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 32 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 21 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning defending, Mount St. Mary's allowed the other team to go 35.4% from the field on 23 out of 65 shooting. Saint Francis dished out 13 dimes and had 8 steals for this game. Furthermore, Saint Francis had 37 boards (15 offensive, 22 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Saint Francis finished shooting 72.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 13 of their 18 shots. They also buried 7 of 27 attempts from beyond the arc. In regard to personal fouls, the Mountaineers ended up with 14 and Saint Francis totaled 15 personal fouls.

Patrick Haigh is one player who came through in this matchup. He went 62.5% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. He was on the hardwood for 23 mins played and snagged 3 rebounds. He ended up scoring 15 points on 5 out of 8 shooting.

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Mount St. Mary's will play this game with a record of 1-2 this season. They are averaging 63.3 points per game (347th in D-1) while connecting on 43.6% from the field. The Mountaineers are shooting 30.6% from downtown (22 of 72) and 61.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Mount St. Mary's is grabbing 37.3 boards per game and has accounted for 43 dimes on the campaign, which is 212th in college hoops in terms of passing. They turn it over 17.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 20.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Mountaineers are able to force 8.0 turnovers per game while drawing 16.7 personal fouls. They rank 88th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 30 conceded for the season. The Mountaineers are giving up a FG percentage of 40.4% (69 of 171) and they concede 33.0 boards per game as a team. They give up 29.9% on shots from downtown while they are 157th in college in points per game from their opponents (69.7).

For their last game, the Cincinnati Bearcats went home victorious with a score of 74-62 when they played Dayton. The Bearcats corralled 36 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 41 in this game. They coughed up the ball 23 times, while earning 5 steals in this matchup. Dayton had 24 fouls in this matchup which took the Bearcats to the charity stripe for a total of 37 attempts. They were able to knock down 23 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 62.2%. Concerning shots from beyond the perimeter, Cincinnati made 9 of their 19 attempts (47.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Bearcats ended up going 21 for 45 from the floor which had them shooting 46.7%. The Bearcats allowed Dayton to make 20 of their 62 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 32.3% for the contest. They finished 7.7% from distance by hitting 2 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 27 at the free throw line (74.1%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Cincinnati permitted Dayton to pull down 30 in total (6 offensive).

Day Day Thomas ended up being a major contributor for the Bearcats for this game. He earned 20 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists in the game. He buried 3 out of 6 in this matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Cincinnati has a win-loss mark of 3-0 on the year. As an offense, the Bearcats are connecting on 47.0% from the field, which is 151st in college. Cincinnati has tallied 242 pts for the season (80.7 per game) and they pull down 39.7 boards per game. They are earning an assist 17.0 times per game (118th in college) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 18.3 times per game. The Bearcats have committed 19.7 fouls every game while shooting 64.5% from the charity stripe.

The Cincinnati defense concedes 23.3% on 3-pointers (17 of 73) and their opponents are knocking down 74.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 12.0 dimes and 35.0 boards per game, which is ranked 146th and 179th in those categories on the defensive end. The Bearcats on defense are ranked 54th in college in PPG given up with 63.0. They are forcing 17.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 35.0% from the floor (28th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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