Ohio Bobcats vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ohio Bobcats vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The St. Mary's Gaels (2-0) will play the Ohio Bobcats (1-1) at University Credit Union Pavilion on Tuesday.

The Ohio Bobcats faced off with Illinois State and went home with a win by a final score of 72-68 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Bobcats walked away with 13 while Illinois State had 20 fouls. They made 8 of 26 tries from distance. Illinois State shot 54.5% at the free throw line by knocking down 6 of 11 shots. Additionally, Illinois State snagged 31 rebounds (6 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Illinois State doled out 11 assists and had 4 steals in this game. Concerning defending, Ohio allowed 43.5% from the field on 27 of 62 shooting. They also distributed 13 assists in the matchup while creating 9 turnovers and having 4 steals. When it comes to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 31 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Bobcats buried 15 of 27 attempts for a rate of 55.6%. Ohio ended the game having earned a 50.9% field goal percentage (28 of 55) and converted 1 of their 8 shots from beyond the arc.

Jackson Paveletzke is a player who came through in the matchup. He accounted for 19 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. He saw the court for 34 minutes and totaled 1 rebound. He finished 58.3% from the floor and also totaled 6 assists.

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Ohio enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 1-1 on the season. They are averaging 78.5 points per contest (209th in the country) while going 50.0% from the floor. The Bobcats are connecting on 26.5% on shots from distance (9 of 34) and 61.2% from the free throw line. As a team, Ohio is collecting 30.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 24 assists on the year, which is 285th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.0 times per game and as a group they commit 16.0 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Bobcats are able to force 14.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 23.5 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 34.0% on shots from distance and they rank 260th in college in PPG from their opponents (78.5). The Bobcats are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.8% (54 of 118) and they concede 38.5 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are 154th in college in allowing assists with 24 conceded for the campaign.

For their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 87-66 when they played Chattanooga. The Gaels were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 29 in the matchup. They turned it over 12 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. Chattanooga was called for 22 fouls for the game which took the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 29 tries. They were able to convert 27 of them for a percentage of 93.1%. With regard to shots from distance, St. Mary's buried 8 out of 16 attempts (50.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Gaels went 26 out of 45 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 57.8%. The Gaels permitted Chattanooga to knock down 22 out of 52 tries from the field which left them shooting 42.3% in this contest. They shot 33.3% from distance by shooting 7 out of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 19 from the free throw line (78.9%). In the matter of team rebounding, St. Mary's permitted Chattanooga to snag 15 overall (2 on the offensive side).

Mikey Lewis ended up being important for the Gaels in this matchup. He made 7 of 13 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and accounted for 4 rebounds. He had 28 points in his 32 mins on the court and had 5 dimes for this game.

St. Mary's has a record of 2-0 on the campaign. The Gaels have committed 17.5 fouls per contest and they go 87.5% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 19.0 times per contest (73rd in college) and they are giving up possession 12.5 times per game. St. Mary's has accumulated 171 pts on the season (85.5 per game) and they collect 36.0 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Gaels are connecting on 53.9% from the field, which is 30th in college hoops.

The St. Mary's defense allows 28.6% on shots from beyond the arc (12 of 42) and their opposition knocks down 62.1% of their foul shots. They surrender 14.0 dimes and 22.0 boards every game, which is ranked 238th and 5th in college. The Gaels are ranked 73rd in Division 1 in points given up per game with 62.0. They are forcing their opponents into 11.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 44.8% from the floor (248th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ohio

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