Saint Francis Red Flash vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction, 3/18/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Saint Francis Red Flash vs Alabama State Hornets

Date: Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Saint Francis (+4)

UD Arena is the site where the Alabama State Hornets (19-15) will take on the Saint Francis Red Flash (16-17) on Tuesday in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. Alabama State opens as 4-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 140.

The Saint Francis Red Flash took the court against Central Connecticut and earned the victory with a final of 46-43 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Red Flash ended up walking away with 11 and Central Connecticut totaled 11 personal fouls. They also converted 3 out of their 17 shots from three-point range. Central Connecticut went 75.0% from the free throw line by burying 6 of their 8 attempts. Furthermore, Central Connecticut snagged 39 rebounds (9 offensive, 30 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Central Connecticut earned 5 assists and had 6 steals for the contest. Pertaining to defending, Saint Francis allowed their opponent to shoot 30.4% from the floor on 17 out of 56 shooting. They also recorded 9 assists in the game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 7 steals. In regard to pulling down boards, they compiled 36 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Red Flash made 3 of 7 tries for a percentage of 42.9%. Saint Francis walked away from the game with a 31.7% FG percentage (19 out of 60) and converted 5 of 26 3-pointers.

Juan Cranford Jr. is one guy who was a factor in the matchup. He notched 14 points on 6 of 15 shooting. He played 33 mins played and snagged 4 rebounds. He finished the game at 40.0% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Saint Francis comes into this contest with a mark of 16-17 on the season. They turn it over 12.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 15.2 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Saint Francis is snagging 34.0 rebounds per game and has earned 469 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 119th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Red Flash are hitting 33.9% on shots from downtown (271 of 800) and 72.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 71.1 points per outing (257th in the nation) while connecting on 46.1% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Red Flash are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers every game while drawing 14.2 fouls. They are surrendering 30.9% from beyond the arc and they are 172nd in college in points per game allowed (71.6). The Red Flash are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.2% (850 of 1,967) and they concede 34.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 200th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 432 surrendered for the season.

In their last game, the Alabama State Hornets went home victorious with a score of 60-56 when they played Jackson State. The Hornets snagged 21 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 in this game. They turned the ball over 6 times, while getting 10 steals for the matchup. Jackson State earned 13 fouls for the contest which got the Hornets to the charity stripe for 11 shots. They were able to make 7 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 63.6%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Alabama State converted 9 of 29 tries (31.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Hornets ended up shooting 22 for 65 from the field which had them at 33.8%. The Hornets allowed Jackson State to make 20 of 54 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.0% in the game. They shot 29.4% from 3-point land by shooting 5 of 17 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 15 at the charity stripe (73.3%). In regard to attacking the glass, Alabama State allowed Jackson State to pull down 39 overall (10 on the offensive side).

CJ Hines ended up being a major contributor for the Hornets for the matchup. He racked up 20 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes in this contest. He made 8 out of 15 in this game for a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and added 3 rebounds.

Alabama State has a win-loss record of 19-15 this year. The Hornets commit 18.2 fouls every game while shooting 69.2% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 11.8 times per contest (308th in college hoops) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.1 times per game. Alabama State has 2,497 pts so far this season (73.4 per contest) and they pull down 36.2 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Hornets are hitting on 40.5% from the field, which ranks 353rd in the nation.

The Hornets on defense are ranked 198th in college in PPG surrendered with 72.2. They are forcing 13.1 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (169th in Division 1). The Alabama State defense allows 33.1% on 3-point shots (251 of 759) and opponents are converting on 69.9% of their foul shots. They give up 12.3 assists and 39.6 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 101st and 358th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Saint Francis (+4)

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