San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 12/20/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is the location where the New Mexico Lobos (9-2) will meet the San Jose State Spartans (5-6) on Saturday.

The San Jose State Spartans faced off with Stanford and took a loss by a score of 86-82 in their last game. San Jose State walked away from the contest with a 45.3% field goal percentage (29 of 64) and buried 6 of 17 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Spartans buried 18 of their 20 tries for a rate of 90.0%. In terms of hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 18 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 12 dimes in the game while forcing the other team into 19 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When talking about defending, San Jose State let their opponent shoot 60.9% from the field on 28 of 46 shooting. Stanford dished out 16 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. Moreover, Stanford pulled down 31 rebounds (11 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Stanford finished the game at 72.4% at the free throw line by making 21 of 29 attempts. They also converted 9 of 18 attempts from three-point range. In reference to fouls, the Spartans ended up finishing with 24 while Stanford recorded 18 fouls.

Yaphet Moundi is one player who was a major factor in this game. He shot 57.1% from the field but had no assists when the game ended. He was on the court for 26 minutes and totaled 5 boards. He walked away with 26 points on 8 out of 14 shooting.

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San Jose State steps onto the court with a mark of 5-6 on the campaign. They average 75.7 points per contest (225th in college) while connecting on 46.1% from the floor. The Spartans are hitting 36.5% on three-point shots (81 of 222) and 71.2% from the free throw line. As a team, San Jose State is snagging 33.7 rebounds per game and has earned 125 assists on the campaign, which is 329th in college hoops in terms of passing. They are turning it over 12.0 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.9 fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Spartans are able to force 12.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.1 fouls. They rank 304th in D-1 in giving up assists with 173 relinquished for the campaign. The Spartans defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.1% (293 of 635) and they surrender 33.2 boards per game as a team. They are relinquishing 34.7% from beyond the arc and they rank 203rd in college hoops in points per game allowed (73.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the New Mexico Lobos got the victory with a final of 75-59 when they played Florida Gulf Coast. The Lobos recorded 25 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 40 for the contest. They also coughed it up 12 times, while recording 8 steals in this matchup. Florida Gulf Coast had 25 fouls for this contest which got the Lobos to the free throw line for a total of 27 shots. They were able to bury 24 of the free throw tries for a clip of 88.9%. Concerning 3-point attempts, New Mexico converted 7 of 34 tries (20.6%). At the conclusion of this game, the Lobos shot 22 for 60 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.7%. The Lobos permitted Florida Gulf Coast to bury 20 out of their 57 tries from the floor which had them at 35.1% for the game. They finished 27.8% from beyond the perimeter by hitting 10 of 36 and ended up shooting 9 of 14 at the charity stripe (64.3%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, New Mexico allowed Florida Gulf Coast to pull down 25 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Antonio Chol ended up being a major contributor for the Lobos for this game. He converted 4 out of 11 for the matchup giving him a rate of 36.4%, and had 7 rebounds. He accumulated 14 points in his 28 minutes on the court, but finished this game without an assist.

New Mexico has a record of 9-2 for the year. As an offense, the Lobos are connecting on 45.0% from the floor, which is 206th in the nation. New Mexico has scored 896 points on the year (81.5 per contest) and they grab 37.7 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.0 times per contest (153rd in Division 1) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.8 times per game. The Lobos are committing 17.5 personal fouls per contest and they hit 77.0% from the charity stripe.

The New Mexico defense allows 29.1% on 3-point attempts (97 of 333) and opponents are knocking down 72.3% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 11.9 dimes and 34.8 total rebounds per game, which is 85th and 191st in the nation. The Lobos on the defensive end are ranked 90th in D-1 in points given up per game with 68.9. They are forcing 15.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 39.9% from the floor (53rd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Jose State

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