Tarleton State Texans vs LSU Tigers Prediction, 11/5/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs LSU Tigers

Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, LA

TV: SECN+

Pete Maravich Assembly Center is the site where the LSU Tigers (14-18 last year) will try to defeat the Tarleton State Texans (12-20 last season) on Wednesday.

The Tarleton State Texans played California Baptist and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 55-51 in their last contest. Tarleton State wrapped up the contest having earned a 43.2% FG percentage (19 out of 44) and buried 1 of their 10 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Texans converted 12 of 16 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. In relation to hauling in boards, they earned 22 with 2 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 6 assists for this game in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In the matter of defense, Tarleton State allowed 32.8% from the field on 19 of 58 shooting. California Baptist totaled 12 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. In addition, California Baptist pulled down 34 rebounds (12 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. California Baptist shot 71.4% from the charity stripe by making 10 of their 14 tries. They also made 7 of their 26 attempts from long range. With respect to fouls, the Texans walked away with 12 and California Baptist finished the game with 15 fouls.

Dantwan Grimes is one guy who played a role in the game. He accumulated 16 points on 7 of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 40 mins and pulled down 7 rebounds. He went 70.0% from the field and earned 3 assists.

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Tarleton State will play this contest after finishing with a win-loss mark of 12-20 last season. They had an average of 63.3 pts per contest (357th in college) while connecting on 43.2% from the field. The Texans connected on 32.4% on shots from downtown (132 of 408) and 73.3% from the charity stripe. As a squad, Tarleton State snagged 30.3 rebounds per game and racked up 338 dimes throughout last year, which ranked 354th in the country in terms of passing. They turned it over 17.6 times per contest and as a group committed 19.1 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Texans were able to force their opponents into 16.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.5 fouls. They were 178th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 434 surrendered over the course of last year. The Texans defensively allowed a FG percentage of 44.4% (722 of 1,627) and they surrendered 31.7 boards per game as a group. They surrendered 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they were 95th in the country in points per game allowed (69.6).

When they last played, the LSU Tigers took a defeat with a final score of 91-62 when they played Mississippi State. When it comes to rebounding, LSU allowed Mississippi State to get 40 overall (10 offensive). They finished the game shooting 44.1% from downtown by going 15 out of 34 and finished the game at 6 out of 10 at the free throw line (60.0%). The Tigers permitted Mississippi State to bury 35 out of their 67 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 52.2% in this contest. Overall, the Tigers walked away from this one shooting 22 for 56 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 39.3%. When it comes to shooting from downtown, LSU converted 5 of their 26 tries (19.2%). They were able to bury 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 50.0%. Mississippi State was called for 22 fouls for this game which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. The Tigers recorded 24 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in the game.

Jordan Sears was important for the Tigers in this matchup. He converted 7 out of 17 for the contest for a field goal rate of 41.2%, and added 4 rebounds. He scored 20 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 2 assists for the matchup.

LSU had a record of 14-18 last season. The Tigers committed 16.8 personal fouls every game and they went 71.4% from the charity stripe. They assisted teammates 12.8 times per contest (244th in college) and they turned the ball over 13.1 times per contest. LSU totaled 2,363 pts over the course of last season (73.8 per game) and they collected 35.7 boards per game. As an offense, the Tigers hit 44.5% from the floor, which ranked 185th in college hoops.

The Tigers on the defensive side of the court were 228th in Division 1 in PPG given up with 73.6. They forced 11.6 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (98th in college). The LSU defense allowed 32.3% on three-point shots (232 of 718) and opponents converted on 70.6% of their foul shots. They surrendered 12.6 dimes and 37.9 boards per game, which was ranked 129th and 339th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take LSU

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