Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 12/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Location: Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI

TV: ESPN+

Breslin Center is where the Michigan State Spartans (9-1) will play the Toledo Rockets (5-5) on Tuesday.

The Toledo Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against Robert Morris and took a loss by a score of 75-70 in their last game. Toledo ended the contest having earned a 33.3% FG percentage (20 out of 60) and converted 4 out of their 12 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Rockets made 26 of their 30 attempts for a rate of 86.7%. Regarding pulling down boards, they compiled 32 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 8 dimes in this game in addition to creating 8 turnovers and getting 2 steals. In the matter of defense, Toledo let their opponent shoot 44.8% from the field on 26 of 58 shooting. Robert Morris earned 15 dimes and had 1 steal for the contest. Additionally, Robert Morris pulled down 44 rebounds (13 offensive, 31 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Robert Morris shot 64.3% from the charity stripe by making 18 of 28 shots. They made 5 of 21 shots from downtown. Concerning fouls, the Rockets ended up with 26 while Robert Morris totaled 23 fouls.

Sonny Wilson is one player who was a major contributor for this game. He went 46.2% from the floor and also totaled 1 assist. He played for 38 mins and also totaled 1 rebound. He recorded 21 points on 6 out of 13 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Tonight

Toledo steps onto the court with a mark of 5-5 for the year. They are averaging 82.6 points per contest (96th in the country) on 47.9% from the floor. The Rockets are shooting 34.2% on 3-pointers (69 of 202) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Toledo is pulling down 35.6 boards per contest and has racked up 167 assists this season, which is 117th in the country in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.7 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Rockets are forcing 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.7 fouls. They are surrendering 34.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 275th in college hoops in opponents points per game (77.6). The Rockets defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 49.0% (300 of 612) and they surrender 33.5 boards per game as a squad. They are 279th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 163 conceded this year.

The last time they took the court, the Michigan State Spartans got the victory with a final of 76-72 when they played Penn State. In relation to rebounding, Michigan State allowed Penn State to grab 26 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 27.6% from distance by going 8 of 29 and ended up shooting 8 of 9 at the free throw line (88.9%). The Spartans permitted Penn State to convert 28 out of their 66 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.4% for this game. Overall, the Spartans shot 24 for 52 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.2%. When it comes to shots from downtown, Michigan State converted 10 out of 18 attempts (55.6%). They were able to convert 18 of them for a rate of 85.7%. Penn State had 18 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Spartans to the charity stripe for 21 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 16 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Spartans were able to pull down 27 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 35 for the game.

Divine Ugochukwu ended up being a factor for the Spartans in this matchup. He racked up 23 points in his 27 mins of playing time and tallied 1 assist for this game. He made 8 out of 10 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 80.0%, and had 1 rebound.

Michigan State has a mark of 9-1 so far this year. The Spartans commit 16.1 fouls every game and they hit 74.1% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 18.7 times per game (26th in college) and they cough up possession 11.5 times per game. Michigan State has earned 765 points for the campaign (76.5 per contest) and they collect 41.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Spartans are shooting 45.5% from the field, which ranks 181st in the country.

The Michigan State defense concedes 28.5% on shots from 3-point land (72 of 253) and opponents are knocking down 71.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 11.6 dimes and 29.6 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 69th and 10th in those categories. The Spartans on the defensive end are ranked 11th in college in points allowed per game with 62.1. They are forcing 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 38.6% from the floor (26th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toledo

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.