VMI Keydets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 11/26/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: VMI Keydets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Location: Suncoast Credit Union Arena in Fort Myers, FL

TV: ESPN+

The VMI Keydets (3-5) are on their way to Suncoast Credit Union Arena on Wednesday where they will take on the Bowling Green Falcons (4-2).

The VMI Keydets stepped onto the hardwood against Buffalo and went home with a loss by a final score of 78-70 in their last game. Regarding fouls, the Keydets ended up finishing with 25 while Buffalo totaled 17 fouls. They knocked down 8 out of their 21 attempts from long range. Buffalo finished shooting 75.7% from the free throw line by converting 28 of 37 tries. In addition, Buffalo pulled down 31 rebounds (7 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Buffalo dished out 11 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. Concerning defending, VMI allowed the other team to go 45.7% from the floor on 21 out of 46 shooting. They also doled out 8 assists in this game in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Pertaining to grabbing boards, they earned 29 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Keydets made 14 of 20 tries for a rate of 70.0%. VMI wrapped up the game having earned a 37.5% FG percentage (24 of 64) and converted 8 out of their 34 shots from 3-point land.

TJ Johnson is one player who was a contributor for the contest. He ended up finishing with 28 points on 6 of 21 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins played and also collected 7 boards. He finished shooting 28.6% from the floor but had no assists at the end of the game.

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VMI will play this game with a record of 3-5 on the year. They turn it over 10.3 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, VMI is grabbing 37.8 boards per game and has 107 assists on the season, which is 56th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Keydets are shooting 34.5% on shots from downtown (97 of 281) and 69.9% from the free throw line. They average 80.6 pts per game (158th in Division 1) on 42.4% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Keydets have forced 13.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.5 personal fouls. They are conceding 34.3% from 3-point land and they are 267th in college hoops in opponents PPG (78.1). The Keydets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.3% (227 of 501) and they surrender 39.6 boards per game as a unit. They rank 362nd in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 142 relinquished on the campaign.

When they last played, the Bowling Green Falcons went home victorious with a score of 71-66 when they faced Bucknell. In relation to rebounding, Bowling Green allowed Bucknell to grab 29 overall (4 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 45.0% from distance by shooting 9 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Falcons permitted Bucknell to make 21 of 45 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.7% for this game. Overall, the Falcons shot 21 out of 47 from the floor which had them shooting 44.7%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Bowling Green made 11 of their 23 tries (47.8%). They were able to make 18 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 69.2%. Bucknell had 23 personal fouls for this contest which got the Falcons to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while getting 12 steals in this game. The Falcons recorded 18 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 23 in this game.

Javon Ruffin ended up being a major contributor for the Falcons for the matchup. He made 5 out of 9 in the matchup giving him a rate of 55.6%, and added 1 rebound. He scored 15 points in his 27 mins on the hardwood and had 4 assists in the game.

Bowling Green has a mark of 4-2 on the season. The Falcons are committing 17.5 fouls every game and they shoot 74.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 14.5 times per game (197th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.3 times per contest. Bowling Green has accounted for 518 pts this year (86.3 per contest) and they pull in 35.5 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Falcons are shooting 47.4% from the field, which ranks 113th in the nation.

The Bowling Green defense allows 33.8% on shots from distance (50 of 148) and their opposition makes 75.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 13.5 dimes and 33.3 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 204th and 122nd in college. The Falcons defensively are ranked 96th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 68.7. They are forcing 21.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.3% from the field (180th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take VMI

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