Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 3/27/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Friday, March 27, 2026

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan (-10)

The Michigan Wolverines (33-3) will try to defeat the Alabama Crimson Tide (24-9) at United Center on Friday in the Sweet 16. Alabama opens this matchup as 10-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 176.

The Alabama Crimson Tide played Texas Tech and earned the victory with a final of 90-65 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Crimson Tide ended up finishing with 21 while Texas Tech accumulated 14 fouls. They made 4 of 25 tries from three-point range. Texas Tech finished the contest at 79.2% at the free throw line by making 19 of their 24 tries. Additionally, Texas Tech collected 28 rebounds (9 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Texas Tech recorded 8 assists and had 9 steals in the game. When discussing defense, Alabama allowed 34.4% from the floor on 21 out of 61 shooting. They also recorded 25 assists for this game in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 42 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Crimson Tide buried 11 of their 15 tries for a percentage of 73.3%. Alabama finished with a 44.1% FG percentage (30 out of 68) and made 19 out of their 42 shots from downtown.

Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is one player who was a major factor for this game. He totaled 24 points on 7 out of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 27 mins and grabbed 4 boards. He finished the game at 70.0% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist.

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Alabama enters this game with a record of 24-9 this year. They are turning it over 9.8 times per game and as a unit they commit 18.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Alabama is pulling in 40.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 532 dimes on the season, which is 67th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Crimson Tide are hitting 35.7% from downtown (417 of 1167) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 91.7 pts per game (1st in Division 1) while going 45.8% from the field.

On defense, the Crimson Tide have forced 9.6 turnovers per game and they draw 19.7 personal fouls. They are ranked 228th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 458 relinquished for the season. The Crimson Tide defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.2% (983 of 2,274) and they concede 39.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They are surrendering 33.9% on shots from downtown and they rank 354th in college hoops in opponents points per game (83.1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Michigan Wolverines got the victory with a final of 95-72 when they played Saint Louis. When talking about how they rebounded, Michigan allowed Saint Louis to snag 24 in all (3 offensive). They went 31.3% from 3-point land by connecting on 10 of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 15 from the charity stripe (53.3%). The Wolverines permitted Saint Louis to convert 27 of their 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.3% in this game. Overall, the Wolverines ended up shooting 34 for 61 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.7%. When talking about three-point shots, Michigan converted 11 of 23 tries (47.8%). They were able to make 16 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 69.6%. Saint Louis was called for 17 personal fouls for the contest which took the Wolverines to the charity stripe for 23 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 2 steals in the game. The Wolverines were able to pull down 31 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in the game.

Yaxel Lendeborg pitched in for the Wolverines in this game. He buried 9 of 13 in this contest for a rate of 69.2%, and added 6 rebounds. He earned 25 points in his 32 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for this game.

Michigan has a win-loss record of 33-3 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Wolverines are connecting on 51.1% from the field, which is ranked 4th in college hoops. Michigan has 3,148 points for the campaign (87.4 per contest) and they average 39.9 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 18.8 times per game (5th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.8 times per game. The Wolverines are committing 15.5 fouls per contest and they shoot 74.7% from the free throw line.

The Wolverines are ranked 67th in Division 1 in PPG given up with 69.6. They are forcing their opponents into 10.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 38.7% from the floor (3rd in college). The Michigan defense gives up 30.8% on 3-pointers (296 of 962) and opponents are converting on 74.4% of their foul shots. They concede 11.6 dimes and 30.8 rebounds every game, which is ranked 41st and 22nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michigan (-10)

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