Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (12-16) host the Boise State Broncos (17-11) at Save Mart Center on Saturday.

The Boise State Broncos took the court against Wyoming and notched a win by a score of 72-62 in their last game. Boise State finished the contest with a 47.2% FG percentage (25 out of 53) and converted 5 of 21 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Broncos made 17 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 89.5%. With regard to grabbing boards, they compiled 34 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 11 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and getting 3 steals. Concerning defending, Boise State allowed the other team to shoot 42.1% from the floor on 24 out of 57 shooting. Wyoming totaled 12 dimes and had 10 steals in this contest. On top of that, Wyoming collected 18 boards (3 offensive, 15 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Wyoming ended up shooting 77.8% at the free throw line by burying 7 of 9 shots. They also knocked down 7 of their 26 shots from 3-point range. In reference to personal fouls, the Broncos ended up finishing with 12 while Wyoming totaled 15 personal fouls.

Dylan Andrews is one player who played a role in this contest. He ended up with 20 points on 6 out of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 31 minutes and also snagged 2 rebounds. He shot 66.7% from the field and also totaled 1 assist.

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Boise State will enter this game with a record of 17-11 for the season. They average 78.4 points per game (126th in college hoops) while connecting on 45.4% from the field. The Broncos are hitting 34.5% on three-point attempts (232 of 673) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Boise State is pulling down 35.5 boards per game and has totaled 384 dimes on the season, which ranks 228th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.6 times per contest and as a squad they commit 17.2 fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Broncos have forced 10.1 turnovers per game and they draw 20.0 fouls. They are giving up 35.3% from 3-point land and they rank 188th in the nation in points per game allowed (73.9). The Broncos defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.1% (746 of 1,619) and they surrender 29.2 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 76th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 345 conceded for the campaign.

For their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 74-70 when they played Colorado State. When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Fresno State permitted Colorado State to grab 31 in total (10 offensive). They shot 31.0% from distance by going 9 out of 29 and ended up going 13 out of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). The Bulldogs allowed Colorado State to make 26 of their 58 attempts from the field which had them shooting 44.8% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Bulldogs shot 27 for 58 from the floor which had them shooting 46.6%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, Fresno State converted 8 out of 21 attempts (38.1%). They were able to make 8 of those for a percentage of 72.7%. Colorado State committed 11 fouls for the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 11 attempts. They gave up possession 12 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Bulldogs pulled down 23 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for the contest.

DeShawn Gory ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs in this matchup. He made 10 of 16 in this game for a field goal rate of 62.5%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. He scored 23 points in his 35 mins on the court and accounted for 4 assists in this contest.

Fresno State has a mark of 12-16 this season. The Bulldogs are committing 17.0 fouls every game and they go 74.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 13.3 times per contest (231st in the nation) and they turn the ball over 13.0 times per game. Fresno State has earned 2,073 points for the campaign (74.0 per contest) and they pull in 34.6 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are hitting on 45.0% from the field, which has them ranked 199th in college hoops.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 151st in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 72.9. They are able to force 13.3 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.4% from the field (194th in D-1). The Fresno State defense allows 30.0% on three-point shots (218 of 727) and their opposition knocks down 73.0% of their foul shots. They concede 13.3 assists and 34.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 168th and 198th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fresno State

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