Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Worthen Arena in Muncie, IN

TV: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (8-15) will try to defeat the Buffalo Bulls (14-10) at Worthen Arena on Wednesday.

The Buffalo Bulls took the court against South Alabama and took a loss by a final of 81-69 in their last game. Buffalo walked away from the contest having earned a 38.1% FG percentage (24 of 63) and made 17 of their 46 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Bulls made 4 of their 6 attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. In terms of hauling in boards, they earned 31 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 17 assists in the game as well as forcing 10 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In relation to the defense, Buffalo allowed the other team to shoot 52.8% from the floor on 28 of 53 shooting. South Alabama distributed 14 dimes and had 9 steals in this contest. In addition, South Alabama grabbed 28 boards (4 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a block. South Alabama ended up shooting 62.5% at the free throw line by knocking down 15 of 24 shots. They buried 10 of their 21 shots from distance. With respect to fouls, the Bulls ended up with 16 while South Alabama finished the game with 9 fouls.

Angelo Brizzi is someone who was important for this game. He walked away with 26 points on 9 of 21 shooting. He saw the court for 35 minutes played and pulled down 3 rebounds. He shot 42.9% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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Buffalo enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 14-10 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 10.9 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Buffalo is collecting 32.3 rebounds per game and has accounted for 359 dimes on the campaign, which is 133rd in college in terms of passing the rock. The Bulls are hitting 38.8% on shots from downtown (236 of 608) and 73.6% from the free throw line. They average 79.3 points per game (112th in the nation) while shooting 47.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Bulls are forcing 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 315th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 376 surrendered on the campaign. The Bulls are allowing a field goal percentage of 47.0% (652 of 1,386) and they surrender 33.0 boards per contest as a squad. They are surrendering 33.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 239th in D-1 in points per game allowed (75.8).

The last time they took the court, the Ball State Cardinals walked away with a victory by a final of 73-68 when they played UL Monroe. The Cardinals pulled down 23 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in the game. They gave up possession 14 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. UL Monroe had 16 fouls in the game which got the Cardinals to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to make 14 of them for a clip of 77.8%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Ball State buried 5 of their 16 tries (31.3%). Overall, the Cardinals ended up shooting 27 out of 62 from the field which had them shooting 43.5%. The Cardinals permitted UL Monroe to convert 18 of 48 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.5% in the matchup. They finished 11.1% from 3-point land by connecting on 2 of 18 and finished the game at 30 out of 36 from the free throw line (83.3%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Ball State allowed UL Monroe to grab 32 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Kayden Fish ended up having an impact for the Cardinals for this contest. He earned 17 points in his 30 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist in this game. He knocked down 6 out of 10 in this game giving him a rate of 60.0%, and tallied 6 rebounds.

Ball State has a mark of 8-15 on the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Cardinals are connecting on 41.8% from the field, which has them ranked 331st in the country. Ball State has earned 1,538 pts so far this year (66.9 per contest) and they collect 31.5 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 12.0 times per contest (315th in college) and they turn the ball over 10.7 times per game. The Cardinals have committed 15.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 69.4% from the charity stripe.

The Cardinals on the defensive side of the court are 84th in Division 1 in PPG allowed with 70.1. They are forcing 13.1 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.5% from the field (273rd in college). The Ball State defense surrenders 34.2% on shots from 3-point land (179 of 524) and opponents are converting on 76.5% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 13.3 assists and 35.6 boards every game, which is 173rd and 247th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Buffalo

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