Dayton Flyers vs Richmond Spiders Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Richmond Spiders

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Robins Center in Richmond, VA

TV: ESPN+

Robins Center is the site where the Richmond Spiders (15-13) will try to beat the Dayton Flyers (20-9) on Tuesday.

The Dayton Flyers stepped onto the hardwood against George Washington and walked away with a win by a score of 68-66 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Flyers ended up with 23 while George Washington recorded 18 personal fouls. They also converted 6 of 20 attempts from beyond the arc. George Washington went 55.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 29 tries. Moreover, George Washington grabbed 32 boards (13 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't have a block. George Washington recorded 14 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. Concerning defense, Dayton allowed 45.8% from the floor on 22 of 48 shooting. They also doled out 16 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and having 14 steals. In terms of grabbing boards, they collected 20 with 2 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Flyers buried 17 of 21 shots for a rate of 81.0%. Dayton finished the contest with a 48.8% FG percentage (20 of 41) and knocked down 11 out of their 24 three-point shots.

Javon Bennett is one guy who was a major factor in this contest. He went 61.5% from the floor and totaled 4 dimes. He played for 37 mins and totaled 1 board. He left the arena with 25 points on 8 of 13 shooting.

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Dayton enters this matchup with a mark of 20-9 on the campaign. They have an average of 75.9 pts per game (180th in the nation) while shooting 45.2% from the field. The Flyers are shooting 34.3% on 3-point shots (221 of 644) and 75.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Dayton is grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game and has accounted for 420 dimes this season, which has them ranked 133rd in the country in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.1 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.8 personal fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Flyers are able to force 15.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.7 personal fouls. They rank 117th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 365 surrendered so far this season. The Flyers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.7% (701 of 1,605) and they surrender 34.3 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 35.9% on 3-pointers and they rank 89th in college hoops in points per game from their opponents (70.6).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Richmond Spiders took a loss by a final score of 69-66 when they played Loyola. The Spiders snagged 19 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards for a total of 22 in the matchup. They gave up possession 4 times, while getting 9 steals in the game. Loyola was called for 29 fouls for the contest which took the Spiders to the free throw line for 33 attempts. They were able to convert 24 of those for a rate of 72.7%. When discussing shooting from 3-point land, Richmond made 8 of their 32 attempts (25.0%). Overall, the Spiders shot 17 for 57 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 29.8%. The Spiders allowed Loyola to knock down 22 of their 44 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 50.0% in this game. They shot 31.3% from beyond the arc by connecting on 5 of 16 and ended up going 20 out of 30 from the charity stripe (66.7%). When it comes to rebounds, Richmond allowed Loyola to grab 37 overall (4 on the offensive glass).

A.J. Lopez ended up having an impact for the Spiders for this contest. He racked up 23 points in his 35 minutes on the court and accounted for 2 assists for the contest. He made 6 of 12 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds.

Richmond has a mark of 15-13 on the season. The Spiders have committed 18.0 fouls per contest while shooting 75.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.5 times per contest (144th in D-1) and they are turning it over 10.0 times per contest. Richmond has scored 2,185 pts for the season (78.0 per contest) and they average 34.2 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Spiders are connecting on 45.1% from the field, which has them ranked 192nd in the country.

The Spiders defensively are ranked 199th in Division 1 in PPG given up with 74.2. They are able to force 12.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.7% from the field (158th in the country). The Richmond defense gives up 32.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (242 of 745) and their opponents are making 70.5% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 12.0 dimes and 36.4 rebounds per contest, ranking them 68th and 299th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Richmond

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