Evansville Purple Aces vs Valparaiso Beacons Prediction, 2/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Evansville Purple Aces vs Valparaiso Beacons

Date: Friday, February 6, 2026

Location: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN

TV: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (11-12) will go up against the Evansville Purple Aces (5-18) at Athletics-Recreation Center on Friday.

The Evansville Purple Aces took the court against Indiana State and took a loss by a score of 84-63 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Purple Aces ended up finishing with 11 and Indiana State accumulated 20 personal fouls. They made 13 of their 27 tries from long range. Indiana State finished the game shooting 55.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 5 of their 9 shots. In addition, Indiana State collected 33 rebounds (7 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Indiana State doled out 28 dimes and had 9 steals for the matchup. When discussing the defense, Evansville allowed 55.0% from the floor on 33 out of 60 shooting. They also doled out 9 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected 28 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Purple Aces converted 11 of their 17 tries for a rate of 64.7%. Evansville ended the game having earned a 42.6% FG percentage (23 out of 54) and knocked down 6 of their 22 three-point attempts.

Leif Moeller is a guy who was important for the contest. He ended up walking away with 22 points on 8 of 14 shooting. He played 37 minutes played and also snagged 3 rebounds. He shot 57.1% from the floor and also dished out 4 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Evansville will enter this contest with a record of 5-18 on the season. They have an average of 67.0 pts per contest (341st in D-1) while hitting 42.6% from the field. The Purple Aces are shooting 31.3% on shots from 3-point land (166 of 531) and 71.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Evansville is collecting 32.7 boards per contest and has accumulated 303 dimes on the year, which ranks 239th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.7 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Purple Aces are able to force 11.4 turnovers per game while drawing 17.4 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.3% on shots from downtown and they are 206th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (74.5). The Purple Aces defense is allowing a FG percentage of 45.3% (601 of 1,328) and they surrender 35.5 boards per game as a team. They are 271st in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 336 relinquished this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Valparaiso Beacons took a loss by a final score of 72-65 when they played Bradley. The Beacons were able to pull down 20 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 30 for the contest. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while recording 7 steals for the matchup. Bradley committed 13 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Beacons to the charity stripe for a total of 10 attempts. They were able to bury 4 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 40.0%. Pertaining to shooting from downtown, Valparaiso knocked down 7 of their 18 attempts (38.9%). Overall, the Beacons ended up going 27 for 57 from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.4%. The Beacons permitted Bradley to convert 27 of their 56 attempts from the field which left them shooting 48.2% in this matchup. They went 33.3% from three-point range by going 7 out of 21 and ended up shooting 11 out of 16 at the free throw line (68.8%). When talking about how they attacked the glass, Valparaiso allowed Bradley to grab 32 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Justus McNair ended up being a major contributor for the Beacons in the game. He knocked down 7 out of 13 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and totaled 1 rebound. He tallied 17 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 1 assist for this game.

Valparaiso has a record of 11-12 for the season. The Beacons have committed 18.3 fouls per game and they hit 71.1% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 11.3 times per game (341st in the nation) and they turn it over 10.7 times per contest. Valparaiso has totaled 1,635 points this year (71.1 per contest) and they pull down 36.7 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Beacons are hitting on 41.5% from the floor, which ranks 338th in the nation.

The Beacons are ranked 85th in college in PPG allowed with 70.3. They are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the field (164th in D-1). The Valparaiso defense concedes 31.1% on 3-point shots (147 of 473) and their opponents are knocking down 69.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 11.7 assists and 35.9 rebounds per game, which is ranked 55th and 264th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Evansville

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.