Fairfield Stags vs Marist Red Foxes Prediction, 1/17/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fairfield Stags vs Marist Red Foxes

Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026

Location: McCann Arena in Poughkeepsie, NY

TV: ESPN+

The Marist Red Foxes (11-5) will play the Fairfield Stags (11-7) at McCann Arena on Saturday.

The Fairfield Stags stepped onto the hardwood against Manhattan and took home the win by a score of 98-62 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Stags walked away with 19 and Manhattan totaled 19 personal fouls. They converted 3 out of their 18 shots from downtown. Manhattan went 79.2% when shooting free throws by making 19 of their 24 shots. Furthermore, Manhattan collected 23 rebounds (6 offensive, 17 defensive), but didn't have a block. Manhattan doled out 8 dimes and had 5 steals in this game. Regarding defending, Fairfield allowed the other team to shoot 35.7% from the field on 20 out of 56 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 13 turnovers and having 5 steals. In regard to hauling in boards, they collected 38 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Stags made 14 of 22 attempts for a percentage of 63.6%. Fairfield walked away from the contest having earned a 57.1% field goal percentage (36 out of 63) and made 12 of their 24 shots from downtown.

Braden Sparks is a player who was a major factor for this contest. He accumulated 23 points on 7 of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 36 minutes played and also snagged 5 rebounds. He finished shooting 36.8% from the field and also earned 3 dimes.

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Fairfield will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 11-7 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 9.6 times per game and as a team they are committing 15.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Fairfield is snagging 40.3 boards per game and has accounted for 218 assists on the campaign, which is 284th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Stags are shooting 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (152 of 434) and 73.2% from the charity stripe. They average 78.2 pts per game (155th in D-1) while going 43.3% from the floor.

On defense, the Stags are forcing 11.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.9 fouls. They rank 240th in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 246 relinquished on the campaign. The Stags defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.1% (473 of 1,072) and they concede 34.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 33.7% on shots from downtown and they rank 167th in college in opponents points per game (72.9).

In their last game, the Marist Red Foxes got the victory with a final of 71-49 against Rider. When talking about attacking the glass, Marist allowed Rider to grab 28 in total (3 on the offensive glass). They shot 16.7% from beyond the arc by going 1 out of 6 and finished the contest at 12 out of 21 at the charity stripe (57.1%). The Red Foxes permitted Rider to bury 18 out of 47 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 38.3% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Red Foxes went 29 out of 63 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.0%. When talking about shooting from 3-point land, Marist knocked down 8 of their 21 attempts (38.1%). They were able to knock down 5 of those for a rate of 83.3%. Rider earned 11 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Red Foxes to the free throw line for a total of 6 tries. They also coughed it up 7 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Red Foxes were able to corral 31 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 38 for this contest.

Justin Menard was important for the Red Foxes for the game. He had 15 points in his 22 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists in this matchup. He knocked down 6 of 9 in this contest for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.

Marist has a win-loss mark of 11-5 for the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Red Foxes are hitting on 45.1% from the floor, which is 203rd in college. Marist has accounted for 1,157 points for the season (72.3 per contest) and they collect 37.1 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.1 times per contest (83rd in college) and they are turning it over 11.5 times per game. The Red Foxes are responsible for committing 16.8 fouls per contest and they go 78.1% from the charity stripe.

The Red Foxes defensively are ranked 4th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 61.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.5% from the field (11th in college). The Marist defense allows 27.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (90 of 331) and their opponents are knocking down 69.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 9.8 dimes and 34.0 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 8th and 153rd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fairfield

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