Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, IN

TV: ACC Network

The Florida State Seminoles (10-12) are headed to Purcell Pavilion on Saturday where they will compete against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-12).

The Florida State Seminoles played Stanford and took home the win by a score of 88-80 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Seminoles ended up with 12 while Stanford accounted for 21 fouls. They buried 12 out of their 34 tries from long range. Stanford finished shooting 66.7% when shooting free throws by converting 6 of their 9 tries. Additionally, Stanford pulled down 29 boards (12 offensive, 17 defensive), but didn't have a block. Stanford earned 12 assists and had 5 steals for this game. Regarding defending, Florida State allowed the other team to shoot 46.3% from the floor on 31 out of 67 shooting. They also distributed 18 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 11 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned 29 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Seminoles knocked down 23 of 29 attempts for a rate of 79.3%. Florida State ended the game with a 54.7% FG percentage (29 out of 53) and made 7 of their 23 shots from downtown.

Chauncey Wiggins is someone who was a contributor in this matchup. He left the arena with 23 points on 6 of 13 shooting. He played for 32 minutes and snagged 3 boards. He ended up going 46.2% from the floor but finished the game without a dime.

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Florida State steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 10-12 this year. They have an average of 80.8 points per outing (93rd in the country) while going 42.5% from the floor. The Seminoles are hitting 31.2% on 3-point shots (225 of 722) and 71.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Florida State is grabbing 36.9 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 327 assists this season, which ranks 176th in the country in terms of passing. They cough up possession 12.0 times per game and as a group are committing 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Seminoles are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 18.2 fouls. They are ranked 284th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 341 conceded so far this season. The Seminoles defense is allowing a FG percentage of 45.2% (606 of 1,341) and they relinquish 38.5 rebounds per game as a group. They are surrendering 33.9% from 3-point land and they rank 317th in college in PPG allowed (79.6).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 76-65 when they faced Louisville. The Fighting Irish were able to collect 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 33 for this contest. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while earning 9 steals in this matchup. Louisville earned 16 fouls for this contest which got the Fighting Irish to the charity stripe for a total of 14 shots. They were able to make 6 of those for a percentage of 42.9%. With regard to 3-point attempts, Notre Dame buried 11 out of their 27 attempts (40.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Fighting Irish finished 24 for 62 from the floor which had them shooting 38.7%. The Fighting Irish allowed Louisville to make 28 out of their 65 attempts from the field which had them shooting 43.1% for this contest. They finished 22.6% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 7 of 31 and finished the game at 13 of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). In regard to how they rebounded, Notre Dame allowed Louisville to get 44 in total (15 on the offensive glass).

Cole Certa was important for the Fighting Irish for this game. He made 6 of 18 for this game for a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and had 3 rebounds. He totaled 18 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for this contest.

Notre Dame has a mark of 11-12 on the season. The Fighting Irish are committing 17.5 fouls per contest and they go 69.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 12.1 times per game (313th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.5 times per game. Notre Dame has totaled 1,692 points for the year (73.6 per contest) and they pull in 37.0 boards per contest. As an offense, the Fighting Irish are hitting on 44.7% from the field, which is 221st in the country.

The Fighting Irish are ranked 145th in D-1 in PPG given up with 72.3. They are able to force 9.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.2% from the field (147th in Division 1). The Notre Dame defense concedes 31.4% from downtown (191 of 609) and their opponents are converting on 74.0% of their foul shots. They surrender 13.4 dimes and 32.8 boards per contest, which is ranked 187th and 84th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Notre Dame

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