Iowa Hawkeyes vs Florida Gators Prediction, 3/22/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Florida Gators

Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026

Location: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Iowa (+10)

Benchmark International Arena is the location where the Florida Gators (27-7) will attempt to defeat the Iowa Hawkeyes (22-12) on Sunday in the round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. Florida opens as 10-point favorites. The betting total is set at 145.

The Iowa Hawkeyes played Clemson and earned the victory with a final of 67-61 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Hawkeyes ended up finishing with 14 while Clemson finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They also made 9 of 26 shots from beyond the arc. Clemson went 66.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 8 of 12 shots. In addition, Clemson collected 24 boards (8 offensive, 16 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Clemson totaled 12 assists and had 4 steals in this matchup. In relation to the defense, Iowa allowed 40.7% from the field on 22 out of 54 shooting. They also recorded 5 assists for the game as well as forcing 3 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In regard to getting rebounds, they collected 36 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Hawkeyes converted 24 of 31 tries for a percentage of 77.4%. Iowa walked away from the game having earned a 38.3% field goal percentage (18 out of 47) and converted 7 of their 25 shots from 3-point land.

Bennett Stirtz is a guy who was a major contributor for the contest. He walked away with 16 points on 4 out of 17 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 40 minutes played and collected 5 rebounds. He shot 23.5% from the field and also dished out 2 dimes.

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Iowa enters this one with a record of 22-12 this year. They currently have an average of 75.0 points per outing (203rd in D-1) while going 48.8% from the floor. The Hawkeyes are shooting 35.5% on shots from 3-point land (271 of 764) and 77.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Iowa is collecting 29.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 511 assists this year, which has them ranked 85th in the nation in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.6 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.5 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Hawkeyes are able to force 13.1 turnovers per game and they draw 17.6 personal fouls. They are 76th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 394 conceded on the campaign. The Hawkeyes defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.9% (771 of 1,679) and they concede 28.5 boards per game as a team. They give up 33.7% on 3-point attempts and they are 16th in college in points per game allowed (65.8).

The last time they took the court, the Florida Gators went home victorious with a score of 114-55 when they faced Prairie View A&M. The Gators snagged 36 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 47 in this contest. They turned the ball over 7 times, while recording 4 steals in the game. Prairie View A&M earned 16 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Gators to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to knock down 14 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 77.8%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Florida knocked down 10 out of their 22 attempts (45.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Gators shot 45 for 70 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 64.3%. The Gators allowed Prairie View A&M to bury 17 of their 63 tries from the floor which left them shooting 27.0% in this game. They went 27.3% from three-point range by going 6 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 17 from the free throw line (88.2%). When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Florida permitted Prairie View A&M to grab 17 in all (6 offensive).

Boogie Fland was important for the Gators in the game. He accumulated 16 points in his 25 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 dimes in this matchup. He made 6 of 6 for the contest for a field goal rate of 100.0%, and had 1 rebound.

Florida has a win-loss record of 27-7 for the year. As an offense, the Gators are hitting on 48.3% from the floor, which is 34th in college hoops. Florida has totaled 2,978 points for the campaign (87.6 per contest) and they average 45.7 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.0 times per game (28th in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 11.8 times per contest. The Gators are committing 17.7 fouls per contest and they shoot 71.1% from the free throw line.

The Florida defense allows 32.2% on shots from 3-point land (227 of 705) and opponents are knocking down 73.1% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 11.0 assists and 30.6 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 23rd and 16th in college hoops. The Gators on the defensive side of the court are 111th in college in points given up per game with 71.5. They have forced 11.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 40.4% from the field (23rd in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Iowa (+10)

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