Kentucky Wildcats vs Florida Gators Prediction, 3/13/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kentucky Wildcats vs Florida Gators

Date: Friday, March 13, 2026

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Florida (-11)

The Florida Gators (25-6) will play the Kentucky Wildcats (20-12) at Bridgestone Arena on Friday in the SEC Tournament. Florida opens this game as 11-point favorites. The total has been set at 160.

The Kentucky Wildcats faced LSU and notched a win by a score of 87-82 in their last game. Kentucky ended the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (32 out of 64) and buried 6 of 22 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Wildcats converted 17 of their 23 shots for a rate of 73.9%. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 31 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 15 dimes in the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When it comes to the defense, Kentucky allowed 50.0% from the floor on 32 out of 64 shooting. LSU totaled 11 dimes and had 1 steal in the game. Moreover, LSU grabbed 33 rebounds (11 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. LSU walked away from this one shooting 65.0% from the charity stripe by converting 13 of 20 tries. They buried 5 of their 20 tries from distance. In the matter of personal fouls, the Wildcats finished with 16 and LSU recorded 17 personal fouls.

Otega Oweh is one player who was a factor in this matchup. He shot 42.1% from the field and earned 3 assists. He saw the court for 39 mins played and also collected 8 rebounds. He recorded 23 points on 8 of 19 shooting.

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Kentucky comes into this contest with a record of 20-12 on the year. They cough up possession 10.5 times per game and as a team they commit 18.2 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Kentucky is collecting 38.1 boards per contest and has accumulated 517 dimes this season, which is 57th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Wildcats are hitting 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (264 of 762) and 72.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 81.4 points per contest (64th in Division 1) while hitting 46.7% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Wildcats are forcing 10.7 turnovers every game and they draw 18.0 personal fouls. They concede 31.9% on shots from distance and they rank 188th in D-1 in PPG allowed (74.0). The Wildcats are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.5% (809 of 1,903) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 249th in college hoops in giving up assists with 452 surrendered on the year.

The last time they took the court, the Florida Gators took home the win by a final score of 84-77 when they played Kentucky. The Gators were able to corral 27 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for this contest. They turned it over 9 times, while earning 7 steals in this contest. Kentucky was called for 25 fouls in this contest which got the Gators to the charity stripe for 32 tries. They were able to bury 20 of them for a rate of 62.5%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, Florida made 8 out of 18 attempts (44.4%). Overall, the Gators shot 28 for 61 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.9%. The Gators permitted Kentucky to knock down 26 of their 66 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 39.4% in the matchup. They shot 34.8% from 3-point land by going 8 out of 23 and finished the game at 17 out of 21 from the charity stripe (81.0%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Florida permitted Kentucky to get 32 in total (12 offensive).

Thomas Haugh ended up being important for the Gators in the matchup. He earned 20 points in his 37 mins on the court and accounted for 3 assists in this game. He converted 7 of 14 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 9 rebounds.

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Florida has a mark of 25-6 for the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Gators are connecting on 48.2% from the floor, which ranks them 37th in D-1. Florida has totaled 2,719 pts for the year (87.7 per contest) and they snag 45.5 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 16.9 times per game (33rd in college hoops) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.7 times per contest. The Gators are committing 17.6 fouls every game and they go 70.8% from the free throw line.

The Gators are ranked 117th in Division 1 in PPG allowed with 71.7. They are forcing 11.2 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 40.6% from the floor (28th in the nation). The Florida defense gives up 32.2% on shots from 3-point land (206 of 639) and their opponents are making 71.8% of their foul shots. They have allowed 10.9 assists and 31.2 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 22nd and 26th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Florida (-11)

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