Miami RedHawks vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 3/20/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Redhawks vs Tennessee Volunteers

Date: Friday, March 20, 2026

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Tennessee (-11)

Xfinity Mobile Arena is the site where the Tennessee Volunteers (22-11) will take on the Miami Redhawks (31-1) on Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Miami is 11-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 149.

The Miami RedHawks faced off with SMU and walked away with a win by a score of 89-79 in their last contest. In regard to fouls, the RedHawks finished with 17 while SMU finished the game with 18 fouls. They also converted 5 of their 21 tries from 3-point land. SMU finished the contest at 80.0% when shooting free throws by converting 12 of 15 attempts. In addition, SMU grabbed 31 rebounds (10 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. SMU totaled 15 assists and had 4 steals for this game. With respect to defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 47.7% from the field on 31 out of 65 shooting. They also recorded 20 dimes for the contest in addition to creating 6 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning getting rebounds, they collected 32 with 11 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the RedHawks converted 15 of their 22 shots for a rate of 68.2%. Miami wrapped up the game having earned a 45.3% FG percentage (29 out of 64) and made 16 out of their 41 three-point shots.

Eian Elmer is a player who was a contributor in this contest. He went 72.7% from the field and also distributed 1 assist. He played 24 minutes played and also grabbed 3 boards. He was able to score 23 points on 8 of 11 shooting.

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Miami will enter this game with a win-loss mark of 31-1 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.5 times per game and as a team are committing 16.1 fouls every game. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 35.5 boards per game and has earned 516 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 72nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The RedHawks are hitting 39.2% on shots from 3-point land (334 of 853) and 74.9% from the free throw line. They are averaging 90.7 points per outing (2nd in D-1) while shooting 52.4% from the field.

When they are on defense, the RedHawks are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 118th in D-1 in giving up assists with 407 conceded so far this season. The RedHawks defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.6% (869 of 1,994) and they relinquish 33.5 boards per game as a unit. They concede 32.5% on 3-pointers while they are 224th in college in opponents points per game (75.3).

The last time they took the court, the Tennessee Volunteers took a defeat with a final score of 75-68 when they faced Vanderbilt. The Volunteers were able to collect 21 defensive boards and 22 offensive boards for a total of 43 for this contest. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while recording 4 steals for the game. Vanderbilt was called for 19 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Volunteers to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 61.5%. When it comes to 3-point shots, Tennessee converted 4 of 17 tries (23.5%). In all, the Volunteers went 24 for 64 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.5%. The Volunteers allowed Vanderbilt to convert 23 out of 57 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.4% in this game. They finished 25.9% from distance by connecting on 7 out of 27 and walked away from this one shooting 22 of 26 at the free throw line (84.6%). In reference to team rebounding, Tennessee allowed Vanderbilt to snag 29 overall (10 offensive).

Ja'Kobi Gillespie was important for the Volunteers for the matchup. He made 8 out of 14 for the contest giving him a rate of 57.1%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He tallied 21 points in his 38 mins on the hardwood and had 4 dimes for the contest.

Tennessee has a win-loss mark of 22-11 for the campaign. The Volunteers commit 17.9 fouls per contest while shooting 69.4% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.9 times per contest (32nd in college) and they are turning it over 11.7 times per contest. Tennessee has tallied 2,622 pts this year (79.5 per contest) and they pull down 42.6 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Volunteers are hitting on 46.3% from the field, which ranks them 110th in the nation.

The Volunteers are ranked 59th in the country in points per game surrendered with 69.4. They are able to force 11.1 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.9% from the field (32nd in college). The Tennessee defense surrenders 30.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (257 of 841) and opponents are connecting on 70.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 10.7 assists and 29.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 14th and 10th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tennessee (-11)

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