Michigan State Spartans vs UConn Huskies Prediction, 3/27/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs UConn Huskies

Date: Friday, March 27, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan State (+2)

The Michigan State Spartans (27-7) are headed to Capital One Arena on Friday where they will try to beat the UConn Huskies (30-5) in the Sweet 16. Michigan State opens this game as 2-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 137.

The Michigan State Spartans took the court against Louisville and took home the win by a score of 77-69 in their last game. Michigan State finished having earned a 47.3% FG percentage (26 of 55) and converted 11 of 26 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Spartans knocked down 14 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 73.7%. When discussing hauling in boards, they collected 34 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 22 assists for this contest while creating 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With regard to defense, Michigan State let their opponent shoot 41.3% from the field on 26 out of 63 shooting. Louisville doled out 16 dimes and had 5 steals for this game. Additionally, Louisville collected 29 rebounds (10 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't have a block. Louisville finished the game at 66.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 4 of their 6 tries. They also knocked down 13 out of their 37 attempts from distance. With respect to personal fouls, the Spartans ended up finishing with 11 and Louisville recorded 21 personal fouls.

Coen Carr is a guy who was a contributor in this game. He left the arena with 21 points on 8 out of 13 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and pulled down 10 rebounds. He finished the game at 61.5% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Michigan State enters this contest with a record of 27-7 on the year. They average 79.3 points per game (97th in D-1) while hitting 47.4% from the floor. The Spartans are connecting on 36.5% on 3-pointers (266 of 728) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. As a team, Michigan State is pulling down 39.7 rebounds per game and has totaled 639 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 8th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.6 times per contest and as a squad are committing 16.1 fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Spartans have forced 10.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.7 fouls. They concede 32.7% on three-point shots while they are 43rd in D-1 in PPG allowed (68.4). The Spartans are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.1% (797 of 1,938) and they relinquish 28.2 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 217th in the nation in allowing assists to their opponents with 450 surrendered on the campaign.

For their last game, the UConn Huskies walked away with a victory by a final of 73-57 when they faced UCLA. The Huskies were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They turned the ball over 15 times, while recording 7 steals for this contest. UCLA earned 16 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Huskies to the free throw line for a total of 21 shots. They were able to bury 19 of those for a clip of 90.5%. Regarding shooting from downtown, UConn knocked down 8 of their 24 tries (33.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Huskies went 23 for 49 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.9%. The Huskies permitted UCLA to convert 19 of their 49 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 38.8% in this game. They finished shooting 38.5% from 3-point land by shooting 5 out of 13 and ended up shooting 14 of 21 from the free throw line (66.7%). In the matter of rebounding, UConn permitted UCLA to collect 23 overall (7 offensive).

Alex Karaban ended up being a major contributor for the Huskies for the game. He earned 27 points in his 36 minutes on the court and tallied 1 assist for this game. He buried 9 of 16 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 56.3%, and earned 5 rebounds.

UConn has a record of 30-5 so far this season. The Huskies commit 18.0 fouls per contest while shooting 71.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 18.5 times per contest (9th in the country) and they are turning it over 11.1 times per contest. UConn has accounted for 2,717 pts on the season (77.6 per contest) and they pull down 36.8 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Huskies are shooting 48.3% from the field, which is 33rd in the nation.

The UConn defense allows 30.5% from downtown (211 of 691) and their opposition makes 72.1% of their free throw shots. They concede 10.7 assists and 30.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 13th and 18th in the country. The Huskies on defense are ranked 11th in D-1 in PPG given up with 65.3. They are forcing 12.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.3% from the field (21st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michigan State (+2)

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