Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, 1/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies

Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Location: Reed Arena in College Station, TX

TV: SEC Network

Reed Arena is the site where the Texas A&M Aggies (14-4) will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-8) on Wednesday.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs stepped onto the hardwood against Ole Miss and took a loss by a final of 68-67 in their last game. Mississippi State walked away from the game with a 36.9% field goal percentage (24 of 65) and knocked down 5 of their 27 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs converted 14 of their 23 shots for a percentage of 60.9%. Concerning rebounding, they earned 44 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 12 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 5 turnovers and earning 3 steals. With regard to the defense, Mississippi State allowed the other team to go 40.8% from the floor on 29 out of 71 shooting. Ole Miss earned 6 assists and had 3 steals in the game. Moreover, Ole Miss pulled down 41 rebounds (11 offensive, 30 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Ole Miss ended up going 80.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 8 of 10 shots. They made 2 of their 20 attempts from 3-point land. When it comes to personal fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 12 while Ole Miss accounted for 17 personal fouls.

Jayden Epps is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He finished the game shooting 22.2% from the floor and also earned 3 dimes. He saw the court for 30 mins played and also collected 4 boards. He ended up walking away with 14 points on 4 of 18 shooting.

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Mississippi State comes into this contest with a mark of 10-8 on the year. They lose possession via turnover 11.1 times per contest and as a group they commit 15.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Mississippi State is pulling in 41.0 boards per game and has racked up 229 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 298th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Bulldogs are shooting 30.5% on shots from beyond the arc (139 of 455) and 68.9% from the free throw line. They average 79.4 pts per contest (125th in Division 1) while hitting 44.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs have forced 9.9 turnovers every game while drawing 17.5 fouls. They rank 118th in college hoops in giving up assists with 231 relinquished so far this year. The Bulldogs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 42.0% (493 of 1,173) and they surrender 38.8 rebounds per game as a group. They surrender 30.0% on 3-pointers while they are 286th in Division 1 in points per game allowed (77.4).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Texas A&M Aggies went home victorious with a score of 74-70 when they faced Texas. The Aggies pulled down 23 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 27 in the matchup. They turned it over 5 times, while earning 5 steals for the matchup. Texas was called for 16 personal fouls for this game which took the Aggies to the free throw line for 19 attempts. They were able to make 12 of those for a rate of 63.2%. When it comes to shots from beyond the perimeter, Texas A&M buried 8 of their 20 tries (40.0%). At the conclusion of this game, the Aggies shot 27 for 53 from the field which gave them a rate of 50.9%. The Aggies allowed Texas to make 22 of 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.5% for the game. They shot 28.6% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 6 out of 21 and finished the game at 20 of 26 from the charity stripe (76.9%). In reference to cleaning up the glass, Texas A&M allowed Texas to pull down 34 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Rashaun Agee was important for the Aggies for this game. He knocked down 6 of 14 in the game for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and added 11 rebounds. He tallied 17 points in his 33 minutes of playing time and accounted for 3 dimes in the game.

Texas A&M has a win-loss record of 14-4 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Aggies are shooting 48.0% from the field, which is 60th in the nation. Texas A&M has 1,655 points this season (91.9 per game) and they average 37.9 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 19.8 times per contest (6th in college) and they are giving up possession 12.1 times per game. The Aggies are committing 20.1 personal fouls per game and they go 73.4% from the charity stripe.

The Texas A&M defense gives up 32.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (148 of 450) and their opponents are connecting on 73.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 15.4 assists and 35.8 boards every game, which has them ranked 305th and 260th in those categories. The Aggies on defense are ranked 289th in college in PPG given up with 77.6. They are able to force 15.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.7% from the field (182nd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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