Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

The Missouri Tigers (19-9) are en route to Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday where they will try to beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15).

The Missouri Tigers played Tennessee and went home with a win by a final score of 73-69 in their last contest. Missouri finished with a 47.3% field goal percentage (26 of 55) and converted 4 of 17 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Tigers knocked down 17 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 77.3%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 27 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 9 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 9 steals. Concerning the defense, Missouri allowed 42.9% from the field on 27 out of 63 shooting. Tennessee distributed 13 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. Moreover, Tennessee grabbed 38 rebounds (17 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Tennessee shot 57.1% from the free throw line by converting 8 of their 14 tries. They also buried 7 of 24 attempts from distance. Concerning fouls, the Tigers ended up finishing with 13 and Tennessee accounted for 14 fouls.

T.O. Barrett is one player who had an impact for the contest. He ended up scoring 28 points on 12 out of 17 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins played and totaled 5 rebounds. He ended up shooting 70.6% from the floor and distributed 2 assists.

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Missouri will play this game with a record of 19-9 for the season. They currently have an average of 80.0 pts per contest (90th in D-1) while shooting 49.2% from the floor. The Tigers are shooting 35.0% on shots from beyond the arc (203 of 580) and 68.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Missouri is pulling in 35.9 rebounds per game and has accumulated 409 assists for the season, which has them ranked 155th in college hoops in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.1 times per game and as a group they are committing 17.6 personal fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Tigers are forcing 11.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.8 fouls. They currently rank 117th in D-1 in allowing assists with 364 conceded so far this year. The Tigers are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.5% (700 of 1,648) and they relinquish 32.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 36.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 220th in college hoops in opponents points per game (75.0).

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 100-75 when they faced Alabama. The Bulldogs collected 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 33 for the game. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 8 steals for this contest. Alabama was called for 11 personal fouls in this contest which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 12 attempts. They were able to bury 6 of those for a percentage of 50.0%. When discussing shooting from beyond the arc, Mississippi State converted 15 of their 41 attempts (36.6%). Overall, the Bulldogs went 27 for 71 from the floor which had them shooting 38.0%. The Bulldogs permitted Alabama to knock down 34 out of their 71 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.9% in this contest. They went 44.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 22 out of 50 and ended up going 10 of 13 at the charity stripe (76.9%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Mississippi State allowed Alabama to snag 47 in total (15 on the offensive glass).

Achor Achor pitched in for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He made 7 of 14 in this game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and tallied 7 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 24 mins on the court, but finished this game without an assist.

Mississippi State has a mark of 13-15 on the season. As an offense, the Bulldogs are hitting on 44.6% from the field, which is ranked 219th in the country. Mississippi State has 2,189 points for the season (78.2 per game) and they pull down 39.3 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 12.9 times per game (259th in college) and they cough up possession 11.2 times per game. The Bulldogs commit 16.3 fouls every game and they shoot 67.0% from the charity stripe.

The Mississippi State defense gives up 32.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (234 of 718) and opponents are connecting on 75.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 14.5 assists and 38.3 rebounds per game, which is ranked 270th and 347th in college. The Bulldogs are ranked 330th in college in points per game surrendered with 80.0. They have forced 9.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (131st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Missouri

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