Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 1/29/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026

Location: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Montana State Bobcats (13-8) are en route to Hornet Pavilion on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13).

The Montana State Bobcats took the court against Weber State and notched a win by a score of 91-88 in their last game. Montana State ended the game having earned a 51.7% field goal percentage (30 of 58) and made 12 of 29 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Bobcats converted 19 of 21 tries for a percentage of 90.5%. Regarding grabbing boards, they collected a total of 30 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 10 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In reference to defense, Montana State allowed 51.7% from the field on 31 out of 60 shooting. Weber State totaled 13 dimes and had 7 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Weber State collected 22 rebounds (7 offensive, 15 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Weber State walked away from this one shooting 78.9% when shooting free throws by burying 15 of 19 attempts. They also converted 11 out of their 19 shots from beyond the arc. In regard to fouls, the Bobcats ended up finishing with 17 while Weber State racked up 18 fouls.

Jed Miller is someone who had an impact in the matchup. He shot 64.3% from the field and also distributed 3 dimes. He saw the court for 33 mins played and snagged 5 rebounds. He ended up scoring 27 points on 9 out of 14 shooting.

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Montana State enters this one with a win-loss record of 13-8 this season. They are averaging 79.1 pts per game (127th in Division 1) while connecting on 47.2% from the floor. The Bobcats are connecting on 36.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (210 of 571) and 75.7% from the free throw line. As a team, Montana State is snagging 34.0 boards per contest and has racked up 244 assists on the season, which is 317th in the nation in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 10.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Bobcats are forcing their opponents into 11.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They are 56th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 235 relinquished for the season. The Bobcats defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.9% (535 of 1,220) and they surrender 32.6 boards per game as a unit. They are giving up 32.5% from 3-point land and they rank 106th in D-1 in PPG allowed (70.7).

For their last game, the Sacramento State Hornets walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-67 against Eastern Washington. The Hornets were able to corral 18 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards totaling 22 for this contest. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 4 steals for this game. Eastern Washington committed 20 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Hornets to the free throw line for a total of 28 attempts. They were able to make 24 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 85.7%. Concerning shooting from beyond the arc, Sacramento State made 5 out of 17 attempts (29.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Hornets finished 19 for 44 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.2%. The Hornets allowed Eastern Washington to knock down 26 out of 57 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.6% in this game. They went 33.3% from 3-point land by going 8 of 24 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 18 from the charity stripe (83.3%). When it comes to rebounding, Sacramento State permitted Eastern Washington to grab 30 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Mark Lavrenov pitched in for the Hornets for the matchup. He racked up 26 points in his 31 minutes on the court and added 1 assist in the game. He converted 6 out of 8 in this game for a rate of 75.0%, and accounted for 2 rebounds.

Sacramento State has a record of 6-13 this season. The Hornets commit 18.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 77.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 13.0 times per contest (260th in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.3 times per game. Sacramento State has accounted for 1,473 pts on the campaign (77.5 per contest) and they snag 36.5 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Hornets are shooting 40.8% from the floor, which ranks them 341st in the country.

The Hornets on the defensive side of the court are 343rd in D-1 in points given up per game with 82.2. They are forcing 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.8% from the floor (285th in college). The Sacramento State defense surrenders 33.8% from downtown (167 of 494) and opponents are converting on 74.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 17.3 dimes and 39.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 355th and 356th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Montana State

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