New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 1/17/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The New Mexico Lobos (14-3) are on their way to Viejas Arena on Saturday where they will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (12-4).

The New Mexico Lobos faced off with Grand Canyon and notched a win by a score of 87-64 in their last contest. New Mexico finished the contest with a 52.7% field goal percentage (29 out of 55) and buried 8 of their 16 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lobos made 21 of their 28 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In the matter of hauling in rebounds, they collected 36 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 13 assists for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When talking about defense, New Mexico allowed the other team to shoot 33.8% from the field on 22 of 65 shooting. Grand Canyon totaled 8 dimes and had 7 steals in the game. Furthermore, Grand Canyon pulled down 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Grand Canyon ended up going 86.7% when shooting free throws by burying 13 of 15 shots. They knocked down 7 out of their 27 tries from 3-point land. In regard to personal fouls, the Lobos left the arena with 16 while Grand Canyon finished the game with 22 personal fouls.

Jake Hall is one guy who played a role for this contest. He notched 22 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He played for 30 minutes and snagged 2 rebounds. He ended up shooting 58.3% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist.

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New Mexico comes into this matchup with a mark of 14-3 for the campaign. They have an average of 80.8 points per outing (109th in the country) while going 45.9% from the field. The Lobos are hitting 34.2% on shots from beyond the arc (160 of 468) and 75.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, New Mexico is pulling in 37.1 rebounds per contest and has earned 248 assists for the year, which is 185th in college in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 11.0 times per game and as a team are committing 17.2 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Lobos are able to force 14.4 turnovers per game and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 28.3% from beyond the arc and they are 26th in D-1 in opponents PPG (66.2). The Lobos are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 39.6% (388 of 980) and they relinquish 34.1 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 54th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 199 surrendered this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the San Diego State Aztecs went home victorious with a score of 74-57 against Wyoming. In reference to rebounding, San Diego State permitted Wyoming to grab 32 in total (9 offensive). They went 29.4% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 10 of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 19 at the free throw line (68.4%). The Aztecs permitted Wyoming to convert 17 of 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 30.9% in the matchup. When the game finished, the Aztecs shot 28 for 56 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.0%. Regarding 3-point attempts, San Diego State knocked down 7 out of 17 tries (41.2%). They were able to make 11 of those for a rate of 78.6%. Wyoming earned 16 fouls for the contest which got the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 14 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while earning 6 steals for the matchup. The Aztecs earned 27 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 in this contest.

Magoon Gwath pitched in for the Aztecs for the matchup. He scored 18 points in his 23 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for the contest. He converted 8 out of 12 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and tallied 8 rebounds.

San Diego State has a win-loss mark of 12-4 on the year. The Aztecs commit 18.9 fouls every game and they hit 74.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.8 times per contest (61st in college) and they are turning it over 12.9 times per contest. San Diego State has scored 1,311 pts for the year (81.9 per contest) and they grab 37.4 boards per game. As an offense, the Aztecs are hitting on 48.2% from the floor, which is ranked 53rd in the nation.

The Aztecs defensively are ranked 135th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 71.8. They are forcing 14.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.3% from the field (24th in college). The San Diego State defense allows 32.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (150 of 466) and their opposition knocks down 75.5% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 13.8 dimes and 34.2 total rebounds per game, ranking them 220th and 164th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Mexico

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