North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 2/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Location: Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL

TV: ESPN+

The North Carolina Tar Heels (19-4) are on their way to Watsco Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Hurricanes (18-5).

The North Carolina Tar Heels played Duke and went home with a win by a final score of 71-68 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Tar Heels finished with 7 while Duke totaled 15 personal fouls. They buried 7 of 19 shots from distance. Duke went 83.3% from the free throw line by burying 5 of 6 attempts. On top of that, Duke pulled down 34 rebounds (7 offensive, 27 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Duke earned 14 assists and had 6 steals in the game. Pertaining to the defense, North Carolina allowed the other team to shoot 45.2% from the floor on 28 out of 62 shooting. They also distributed 9 assists in this game in addition to creating 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In the matter of grabbing boards, they earned 25 with 3 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Tar Heels knocked down 11 of 14 attempts for a percentage of 78.6%. North Carolina ended with a 47.3% FG percentage (26 out of 55) and buried 8 out of their 19 three-point attempts.

Caleb Wilson is one guy who was a factor for the game. He walked away with 23 points on 8 out of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 40 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 66.7% from the floor and distributed 2 assists.

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North Carolina comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 19-4 this year. They are turning it over 9.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 14.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, North Carolina is pulling down 39.4 rebounds per game and has accounted for 387 assists this year, which has them ranked 71st in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tar Heels are shooting 34.7% on shots from 3-point land (200 of 577) and 68.6% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 82.6 points per contest (61st in D-1) while shooting 48.0% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Tar Heels have forced 9.7 turnovers per game and they draw 18.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 34.2% from 3-point land while they are 95th in college hoops in opponents points per game (70.5). The Tar Heels defense is giving up a FG percentage of 40.5% (594 of 1,466) and they surrender 33.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are 90th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 292 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Miami Hurricanes got the victory with a final of 74-68 when they faced Boston College. The Hurricanes were able to collect 32 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 41 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. Boston College had 17 fouls in the matchup which got the Hurricanes to the charity stripe for a total of 25 tries. They were able to convert 13 of the free throws for a clip of 52.0%. In the matter of shooting from distance, Miami buried 5 of their 15 tries (33.3%). When the game finished, the Hurricanes walked away from this one shooting 28 for 54 from the floor which had them at 51.9%. The Hurricanes permitted Boston College to knock down 26 out of 65 tries from the floor which had them at 40.0% in this game. They went 32.1% from distance by going 9 of 28 and finished the contest at 7 of 10 from the free throw line (70.0%). In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Miami permitted Boston College to pull down 30 in total (7 offensive).

Malik Reneau ended up having an impact for the Hurricanes in this game. He earned 23 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to tally an assist. He converted 9 of 20 for the game for a field goal rate of 45.0%, and accounted for 8 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 18-5 this year. As an offensive unit, the Hurricanes are hitting on 51.1% from the field, which is 12th in the nation. Miami has totaled 1,937 points for the year (84.2 per contest) and they pull in 38.6 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 17.2 times per game (35th in Division 1) and they turn the ball over 11.6 times per contest. The Hurricanes have committed 16.3 fouls per contest and they hit 68.1% from the free throw line.

The Hurricanes on the defensive side of the court are 81st in Division 1 in points allowed per contest with 70.0. They are able to force 13.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.9% from the floor (117th in the country). The Miami defense gives up 35.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (188 of 533) and their opponents are knocking down 66.8% of their foul shots. They concede 13.2 assists and 29.8 rebounds per contest, which is 169th and 11th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take North Carolina

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