North Dakota State Bison vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 11/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Dakota State Bison vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

University Credit Union Pavilion is where the St. Mary's Gaels (27-6 last year) will meet the North Dakota State Bison (27-8 last season) on Wednesday.

The North Dakota State Bison played Michigan State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-67 in their last game. In relation to personal fouls, the Bison walked away with 17 and Michigan State accumulated 14 personal fouls. They also knocked down 10 out of their 20 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Michigan State finished 88.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of 18 attempts. Additionally, Michigan State snagged 34 boards (3 offensive, 31 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Michigan State distributed 26 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. When discussing defense, North Dakota State allowed the other team to shoot 58.9% from the floor on 33 of 56 shooting. They also recorded 13 dimes for this game while creating 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they earned 19 with 1 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Bison knocked down 11 of 17 shots for a percentage of 64.7%. North Dakota State finished with a 43.9% FG percentage (25 of 57) and knocked down 6 of their 25 3-point shots.

Damari Wheeler-Thomas is one guy who played a role in this game. He finished with 16 points on 5 of 11 shooting. He played for 30 mins and also snagged 3 boards. He finished the game at 45.5% from the field and also distributed 2 dimes.

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North Dakota State heads into this one after finishing with a mark of 27-8 last year. They turned it over 10.8 times per contest and as a group committed 14.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, North Dakota State pulled in 36.1 boards per contest and had 541 dimes over the course of last season, which ranked 63rd in the country in terms of passing. The Bison shot 36.2% on three-point attempts (326 of 901) and 72.3% from the charity stripe. They averaged 80.3 pts per game (75th in the country) while going 46.7% from the field.

When they were on defense, the Bison forced their opponents into 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they drew 15.9 personal fouls. They gave up 33.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they were 73rd in D-1 in opponents PPG (70.2). The Bison defense gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.2% (875 of 1,980) and they surrendered 31.7 rebounds per game as a team. They were 272nd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 482 conceded over the course of last season.

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 63-50 when they faced Texas A&M. The Gaels pulled down 20 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 29 for the game. They also coughed it up 16 times, while earning 5 steals in this contest. Texas A&M was called for 16 fouls for the contest which took the Gaels to the free throw line for a total of 11 attempts. They were able to bury 4 of them for a rate of 36.4%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, St. Mary's buried 10 of their 23 attempts (43.5%). When the game finished, the Gaels finished shooting 18 for 47 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.3%. The Gaels permitted Texas A&M to knock down 23 of 52 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 44.2% for this game. They shot 34.8% from downtown by connecting on 8 out of 23 and ended up going 9 out of 13 from the free throw line (69.2%). When talking about rebounding, St. Mary's permitted Texas A&M to get 29 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Joshua Dent ended up having an impact for the Gaels for the game. He knocked down 7 of 14 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds. He totaled 18 points in his 36 minutes on the court and accounted for 4 assists for the contest.

St. Mary's had a win-loss record of 27-6 last season. The Gaels were responsible for committing 15.5 personal fouls per contest and they went 79.8% from the charity stripe. They assisted teammates 15.2 times per game (101st in college) and they gave up possession 11.0 times per game. St. Mary's earned 2,552 pts last season (77.3 per contest) and they pulled down 40.1 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Gaels connected on 45.9% from the floor, which was ranked 135th in Division 1.

The St. Mary's defense conceded 31.0% on shots from 3-point land (218 of 703) and opponents converted on 72.0% of their free throw attempts. They relinquished 30.5 dimes and 29.2 boards per contest, ranking them 351st and 5th in D-1. The Gaels on the defensive end were ranked 7th in college in points per game surrendered with 64.5. They forced their opponents into 10.3 TO's per game and let teams shoot 40.6% from the field (24th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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