Oregon State Beavers vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 1/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oregon State Beavers vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: CBSSN

The Oregon State Beavers (10-11) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Wednesday where they will try to beat the St. Mary's Gaels (17-3).

The Oregon State Beavers took the court against Pacific and ended up losing by a score of 81-64 in their last contest. Oregon State ended the game with a 42.2% FG percentage (19 out of 45) and knocked down 4 of their 16 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Beavers converted 22 of their 27 attempts for a percentage of 81.5%. When talking about pulling down boards, they earned 23 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 7 assists for this game while creating 4 turnovers and having 2 steals. When it comes to the defense, Oregon State allowed their opponent to shoot 54.4% from the field on 31 of 57 shooting. Pacific earned 14 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. Additionally, Pacific grabbed 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Pacific ended up going 66.7% at the free throw line by converting 10 of 15 shots. They also knocked down 9 of their 21 attempts from 3-point land. Concerning fouls, the Beavers ended up with 13 while Pacific finished the game with 25 fouls.

Yaak Yaak is a player who was a factor for the contest. He left the arena with 13 points on 3 out of 6 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 21 mins and snagged 5 boards. He shot 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist.

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Oregon State heads into this one with a win-loss record of 10-11 for the season. They turn it over 12.1 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.6 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Oregon State is pulling down 31.2 boards per game and has tallied 274 assists for the season, which has them ranked 142nd in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Beavers are hitting 34.6% on 3-pointers (176 of 508) and 78.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 71.0 points per game (305th in D-1) while shooting 42.6% from the floor.

On defense, the Beavers are able to force 10.6 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.6 fouls. They are ranked 295th in college in allowing assists with 280 surrendered for the campaign. The Beavers are giving up a FG percentage of 43.4% (530 of 1,220) and they surrender 35.0 boards per game as a squad. They relinquish 32.5% on 3-point shots while they are 209th in the country in points per game allowed (74.4).

For their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels took a defeat with a final score of 62-54 when they played Santa Clara. The Gaels pulled down 24 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for this game. They also gave up possession 12 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. Santa Clara earned 22 personal fouls for this contest which got the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They were able to knock down 14 of them for a percentage of 63.6%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, St. Mary's converted 4 out of 22 tries (18.2%). Overall, the Gaels went 18 for 57 from the floor which had them shooting 31.6%. The Gaels allowed Santa Clara to convert 22 of 54 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 40.7% in the matchup. They finished 21.4% from distance by going 3 out of 14 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 20 at the charity stripe (75.0%). In reference to cleaning the glass, St. Mary's permitted Santa Clara to get 35 overall (7 on the offensive side).

Paulius Murauskas was important for the Gaels for this game. He earned 12 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist in this contest. He buried 4 out of 7 in this matchup for a rate of 57.1%, and tallied 10 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a win-loss mark of 17-3 this year. The Gaels are responsible for committing 15.3 fouls per contest and they go 81.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 15.1 times per contest (129th in college) and they cough up possession 11.4 times per contest. St. Mary's has totaled 1,573 points for the year (78.7 per contest) and they average 39.5 boards per game. As an offense, the Gaels are shooting 46.6% from the floor, which is ranked 117th in Division 1.

The St. Mary's defense concedes 30.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (129 of 428) and their opponents are making 72.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 12.8 assists and 28.8 total rebounds per game, which ranks 130th and 3rd in the country. The Gaels on the defensive end are ranked 16th in college hoops in PPG given up with 65.0. They are forcing their opponents into 10.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 40.8% from the floor (50th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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