San Jose State Spartans vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Jose State Spartans vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

Save Mart Center is the site where the Fresno State Bulldogs (12-16) will attempt to beat the San Jose State Spartans (8-20) on Tuesday.

The San Jose State Spartans stepped onto the hardwood against Colorado State and ended up losing by a score of 85-73 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Spartans ended up finishing with 19 while Colorado State had 19 personal fouls. They also converted 9 out of their 17 tries from beyond the perimeter. Colorado State went 83.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 20 of 24 attempts. Additionally, Colorado State snagged 28 rebounds (3 offensive, 25 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Colorado State earned 19 assists and had 1 steal in the matchup. With regard to defense, San Jose State let their opponent shoot 62.2% from the floor on 28 out of 45 shooting. They also recorded 14 assists in the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 6 steals. In relation to pulling down rebounds, they collected 19 with 6 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Spartans buried 18 of 25 attempts for a percentage of 72.0%. San Jose State walked away from the game with a 45.3% field goal percentage (24 out of 53) and made 7 out of their 21 shots from distance.

Colby Garland is one guy who played a role for the game. He recorded 28 points on 10 of 17 shooting. He played for 40 mins and also totaled 2 rebounds. He finished shooting 58.8% from the floor and also dished out 8 dimes.

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San Jose State enters this one with a record of 8-20 for the year. They are averaging 71.3 pts per contest (289th in college hoops) while shooting 43.1% from the field. The Spartans are shooting 36.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (226 of 618) and 74.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Jose State is pulling down 30.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 301 dimes on the season, which ranks 357th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 10.6 times per game and as a group are committing 17.6 fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Spartans are able to force 11.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 16.3 fouls. They are currently ranked 318th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 446 surrendered so far this season. The Spartans defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 49.1% (767 of 1,562) and they relinquish 34.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They are giving up 34.9% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 285th in college in PPG allowed (77.5).

In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 69-53 when they played Boise State. The Bulldogs were able to corral 22 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 29 in this game. They turned the ball over 7 times, while earning 4 steals in the game. Boise State had 13 fouls for this game which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 9 attempts. They were able to make 6 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 66.7%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Fresno State buried 3 of their 18 tries (16.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Bulldogs finished shooting 22 out of 54 from the floor which had them at 40.7%. The Bulldogs allowed Boise State to convert 26 of their 65 attempts from the floor which had them at 40.0% in the game. They went 29.7% from 3-point land by going 11 of 37 and ended up going 6 out of 8 at the charity stripe (75.0%). With respect to rebounding, Fresno State allowed Boise State to get 39 in all (15 offensive).

DeShawn Gory ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs for the contest. He earned 20 points in his 39 minutes on the court, but left the arena with no assists. He made 9 out of 20 in the game for a field goal rate of 45.0%, and accounted for 11 rebounds.

Fresno State has a win-loss record of 12-16 for the year. The Bulldogs commit 17.0 fouls per contest while shooting 74.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 13.3 times per contest (230th in college) and they turn it over 13.0 times per contest. Fresno State has totaled 2,073 points for the season (74.0 per contest) and they average 34.6 boards per contest. As an offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.0% from the field, which has them ranked 198th in the nation.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 153rd in D-1 in PPG allowed with 72.9. They are able to force 13.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 44.4% from the floor (196th in the nation). The Fresno State defense concedes 30.0% from downtown (218 of 727) and opponents are making 73.0% of their foul shots. They surrender 13.3 assists and 34.5 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 166th and 199th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fresno State

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