St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 2/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (13-8) are en route to UD Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Dayton Flyers (14-8).

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies played George Mason and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 77-73 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Bonnies finished with 18 and George Mason finished the game with 22 personal fouls. They also buried 5 out of their 21 tries from downtown. George Mason shot 66.7% at the charity stripe by making 10 of 15 attempts. In addition, George Mason snagged 28 rebounds (7 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. George Mason doled out 14 dimes and had 6 steals in the game. With respect to defense, St. Bonaventure allowed the other team to go 55.4% from the field on 31 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 17 assists in this game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 12 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 18 with 4 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Bonnies converted 14 of 25 shots for a rate of 56.0%. St. Bonaventure ended with a 55.1% FG percentage (27 of 49) and converted 5 out of their 11 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Frank Mitchell is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He ended up walking away with 25 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. He played for 35 minutes played and snagged 6 rebounds. He finished 69.2% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists.

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St. Bonaventure comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 13-8 on the year. They average 77.6 points per outing (160th in D-1) while connecting on 46.5% from the floor. The Bonnies are shooting 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (153 of 416) and 76.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, St. Bonaventure is pulling down 35.1 boards per contest and has totaled 344 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 70th in the country in terms of passing. They are turning it over 11.0 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 16.0 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Bonnies are able to force 12.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 281st in the country in allowing assists to their opponents with 315 relinquished on the season. The Bonnies defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.0% (545 of 1,185) and they surrender 32.0 boards per contest as a group. They are conceding 36.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 198th in the country in PPG allowed (74.1).

In their last game, the Dayton Flyers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 102-71 when they faced Saint Louis. The Flyers were able to pull down 16 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 21 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. Saint Louis committed 14 fouls for the contest which took the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 16 shots. They were able to knock down 14 of the free throw tries for a rate of 87.5%. With regard to three-point attempts, Dayton knocked down 7 out of their 20 tries (35.0%). When all was said and done, the Flyers ended up going 25 for 55 from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.5%. The Flyers allowed Saint Louis to make 35 out of 56 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 62.5% for the matchup. They finished 60.7% from beyond the arc by connecting on 17 out of 28 and finished the game at 15 out of 23 at the free throw line (65.2%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Dayton permitted Saint Louis to get 29 in total (6 offensive).

De'Shayne Montgomery was important for the Flyers in this contest. He converted 7 out of 12 for this game for a field goal rate of 58.3%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. He scored 23 points in his 31 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in the matchup.

Dayton has a win-loss mark of 14-8 on the campaign. The Flyers are committing 16.4 fouls per contest and they hit 75.4% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.4 times per contest (170th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.0 times per game. Dayton has earned 1,681 pts for the year (76.4 per contest) and they collect 32.6 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Flyers are shooting 45.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 180th in D-1.

The Dayton defense gives up 36.6% on 3-point shots (191 of 522) and opponents are connecting on 69.2% of their free throw attempts. They give up 13.0 dimes and 35.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 151st and 215th in those categories. The Flyers are ranked 106th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 70.8. They have forced 16.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.6% from the field (170th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton

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