Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Incarnate Word Cardinals Prediction, 3/2/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Incarnate Word Cardinals

Date: Monday, March 2, 2026

Location: McDermott Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (11-18) will play the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (25-4) at McDermott Center on Monday.

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks took the court against New Orleans and took a loss by a final of 77-73 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Lumberjacks ended up finishing with 16 and New Orleans totaled 19 personal fouls. They also converted 4 out of their 16 attempts from three-point range. New Orleans finished 87.5% when shooting free throws by making 21 of 24 tries. Furthermore, New Orleans had 37 rebounds (12 offensive, 25 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. New Orleans doled out 15 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. With regard to defending, Stephen F. Austin allowed the other team to shoot 48.1% from the floor on 26 of 54 shooting. They also distributed 12 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 34 with 18 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Lumberjacks buried 20 of 24 shots for a percentage of 83.3%. Stephen F. Austin wrapped up the game with a 36.2% FG percentage (25 of 69) and buried 3 of their 17 shots from 3-point land.

Keon Thompson is someone who was a contributor in this contest. He finished shooting 38.9% from the floor and dished out 6 assists. He saw the court for 33 minutes played and collected 1 board. He ended up walking away with 19 points on 7 of 18 shooting.

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Stephen F. Austin will take the court with a win-loss record of 25-4 this season. They cough up possession 9.2 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Stephen F. Austin is grabbing 38.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 407 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 170th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Lumberjacks are hitting 36.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (262 of 720) and 67.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 77.5 pts per game (146th in the nation) while shooting 44.9% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Lumberjacks are forcing 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 15.6 fouls. They give up 29.8% on three-point shots and they are 20th in D-1 in points per game allowed (66.1). The Lumberjacks are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 41.7% (689 of 1,651) and they surrender 33.1 boards per contest as a unit. They rank 24th in the country in giving up assists with 313 surrendered on the year.

The last time they took the court, the Incarnate Word Cardinals took a loss by a final score of 54-49 when they faced Northwestern State. The Cardinals snagged 26 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 32 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while earning 7 steals for this contest. Northwestern State was called for 15 fouls in this matchup which got the Cardinals to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They were able to knock down 10 of them for a percentage of 66.7%. When talking about shooting from distance, Incarnate Word converted 5 of their 19 attempts (26.3%). In all, the Cardinals went 17 for 51 from the field which had them at 33.3%. The Cardinals permitted Northwestern State to convert 18 out of their 49 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 36.7% for this contest. They shot 28.6% from three-point range by shooting 4 of 14 and ended up shooting 14 of 19 from the charity stripe (73.7%). In reference to cleaning the glass, Incarnate Word permitted Northwestern State to pull down 29 overall (4 on the offensive side).

Davion Bailey pitched in for the Cardinals for the matchup. He recorded 21 points in his 40 mins on the court and tallied 5 dimes in this game. He converted 7 out of 21 for the game for a field goal rate of 33.3%, and had 10 rebounds.

Incarnate Word has a record of 11-18 so far this year. The Cardinals have committed 18.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 71.8% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 11.7 times per game (329th in the country) and they turn it over 11.3 times per contest. Incarnate Word has accumulated 2,162 points for the year (74.6 per contest) and they grab 34.8 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Cardinals are connecting on 44.4% from the floor, which is 230th in the nation.

The Cardinals defensively are ranked 196th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 74.1. They are able to force 10.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (317th in the country). The Incarnate Word defense gives up 34.1% on 3-pointers (191 of 560) and opponents are making 72.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 13.3 assists and 32.4 boards per game, which has them ranked 176th and 66th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Incarnate Word

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