Tarleton State Texans vs Abilene Christian Wildcats Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs Abilene Christian Wildcats

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-18) will try to defeat the Tarleton State Texans (14-17) at Orleans Arena on Wednesday in the WAC Tournament.

The Tarleton State Texans played UT Arlington and took a loss by a final of 65-60 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Texans left the arena with 20 and UT Arlington had 22 personal fouls. They buried 5 of their 21 tries from beyond the arc. UT Arlington went 85.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 24 of their 28 shots. Moreover, UT Arlington pulled down 30 rebounds (9 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. UT Arlington doled out 7 assists and had 5 steals for this game. With respect to defense, Tarleton State allowed 40.9% from the floor on 18 out of 44 shooting. They also doled out 8 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they compiled 24 with 10 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Texans made 19 of their 31 tries for a percentage of 61.3%. Tarleton State walked away from the contest with a 40.4% FG percentage (19 out of 47) and converted 3 out of their 11 shots from distance.

Dior Johnson is one guy who had an impact for this game. He accumulated 28 points on 8 out of 16 shooting. He played for 30 mins played and also totaled 3 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Tarleton State will enter this matchup with a mark of 14-17 on the season. They are turning it over 14.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.7 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Tarleton State is snagging 32.9 boards per game and has accounted for 349 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 347th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Texans are connecting on 32.1% on three-point attempts (142 of 443) and 74.6% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 74.4 points per contest (225th in Division 1) while connecting on 45.2% from the floor.

Defensively, the Texans are forcing their opponents into 17.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.1% on shots from downtown while they are 155th in college in points per game from their opponents (73.1). The Texans defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.7% (744 of 1,663) and they surrender 34.5 boards per game as a team. They rank 140th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 405 conceded so far this season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Abilene Christian Wildcats took a defeat with a final score of 64-57 when they faced UT Arlington. The Wildcats corralled 19 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 24 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while getting 9 steals in the matchup. UT Arlington was called for 15 personal fouls for this contest which got the Wildcats to the charity stripe for 17 shots. They were able to convert 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 76.5%. In relation to 3-pointers, Abilene Christian made 2 of 17 attempts (11.8%). In all, the Wildcats finished shooting 21 for 53 from the field which had them sitting at 39.6%. The Wildcats permitted UT Arlington to make 18 of 48 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.5% in this matchup. They shot 57.1% from distance by shooting 4 out of 7 and walked away from this one shooting 24 out of 29 from the free throw line (82.8%). When discussing how they attacked the glass, Abilene Christian permitted UT Arlington to collect 37 in all (10 on the offensive glass).

Bradyn Hubbard ended up being a major contributor for the Wildcats in the game. He buried 4 out of 21 for the game for a field goal rate of 19.0%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. He scored 16 points in his 32 mins of playing time and had 2 assists for the matchup.

Abilene Christian has a win-loss record of 13-18 so far this season. As an offensive unit, the Wildcats are shooting 43.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 285th in D-1. Abilene Christian has scored 2,163 points on the campaign (69.8 per game) and they grab 31.8 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 13.2 times per contest (234th in the country) and they turn it over 14.3 times per game. The Wildcats commit 20.7 fouls every game and they connect on 70.4% from the charity stripe.

The Wildcats on defense are ranked 123rd in college in points per game surrendered with 72.0. They are able to force 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 49.0% from the field (356th in the nation). The Abilene Christian defense concedes 39.1% on shots from distance (184 of 470) and opponents are knocking down 71.7% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 11.6 assists and 31.2 total boards per game, ranking them 45th and 28th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tarleton State

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