TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Prediction, 2/17/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights

Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Location: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN+

The UCF Knights (17-7) will try to beat the TCU Horned Frogs (16-9) at Addition Financial Arena on Tuesday.

The TCU Horned Frogs took the court against Oklahoma State and notched a win by a score of 95-92 in their last contest. TCU ended the contest having earned a 44.9% FG percentage (31 of 69) and knocked down 12 of their 25 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Horned Frogs converted 21 of 27 tries for a rate of 77.8%. When talking about rebounding, they collected a total of 36 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 16 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to defense, TCU let their opponent shoot 50.8% from the field on 33 of 65 shooting. Oklahoma State recorded 20 assists and had 4 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Oklahoma State collected 30 rebounds (7 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Oklahoma State ended up shooting 69.6% from the free throw line by making 16 of their 23 tries. They made 10 of 25 tries from 3-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Horned Frogs ended up with 16 and Oklahoma State recorded 18 personal fouls.

David Punch is a player who was important in the matchup. He finished with 19 points on 6 of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 38 minutes and pulled down 6 boards. He finished the game shooting 40.0% from the floor and also earned 1 assist.

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TCU heads into this one with a mark of 16-9 for the year. They cough up possession 11.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.6 personal fouls every game. As a unit, TCU is snagging 35.8 rebounds per game and has totaled 397 dimes on the season, which ranks 99th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Horned Frogs are hitting 33.8% on shots from beyond the arc (189 of 560) and 71.4% from the free throw line. They average 78.9 pts per game (120th in D-1) while going 45.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Horned Frogs are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers every game while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They concede 34.4% on 3-point shots and they rank 130th in D-1 in points per game allowed (72.1). The Horned Frogs defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.3% (649 of 1,465) and they surrender 33.6 rebounds per game as a group. They rank 308th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 398 relinquished this year.

The last time they took the court, the UCF Knights went home defeated by a final of 74-67 against West Virginia. Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, UCF permitted West Virginia to get 34 in total (11 offensive). They shot 26.1% from downtown by shooting 6 out of 23 and finished the game at 16 of 19 at the free throw line (84.2%). The Knights permitted West Virginia to make 26 out of 60 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.3% for the contest. When the game finished, the Knights walked away from this one shooting 24 out of 57 from the floor which had them sitting at 42.1%. With respect to shots from distance, UCF made 6 of their 18 tries (33.3%). They were able to make 13 of them for a rate of 81.3%. West Virginia had 15 fouls for the contest which got the Knights to the free throw line for 16 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Knights collected 20 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 27 for the game.

Themus Fulks ended up being a factor for the Knights for the game. He converted 7 of 16 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 43.8%, and had 4 rebounds. He racked up 19 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 7 dimes in the matchup.

UCF has a mark of 17-7 this year. The Knights are responsible for committing 17.3 fouls per game while shooting 74.5% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.0 times per contest (71st in college) and they turn it over 11.5 times per game. UCF has earned 1,962 pts this season (81.8 per game) and they grab 37.3 boards per game. As an offense, the Knights are shooting 47.1% from the field, which is 74th in Division 1.

The Knights on the defensive end are ranked 283rd in college in PPG given up with 77.7. They are forcing their opponents into 11.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.1% from the floor (295th in college). The UCF defense gives up 33.9% on 3-point shots (195 of 575) and opponents are making 73.7% of their foul shots. They concede 14.3 dimes and 32.0 boards every game, which is 259th and 55th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UCF

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