Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Prediction, 3/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Townsley Law Arena in Lake Charles, LA

TV: ESPNU

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (27-4) will play the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (17-14) at Townsley Law Arena on Tuesday in the Southland Tournament Semifinals.

The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders stepped onto the hardwood against East Texas A&M and went home with a win by a final score of 84-71 in their last game. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi walked away from the game having earned a 51.7% field goal percentage (30 of 58) and converted 8 out of their 22 three-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Islanders converted 16 of 20 shots for a rate of 80.0%. When discussing getting rebounds, they earned 35 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 14 assists for the matchup while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In regard to defense, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi allowed the other team to shoot 52.0% from the floor on 26 out of 50 shooting. East Texas A&M distributed 14 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. Furthermore, East Texas A&M grabbed 18 rebounds (5 offensive, 13 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. East Texas A&M ended up shooting 47.6% at the free throw line by making 10 of their 21 attempts. They also converted 9 out of their 23 attempts from three-point range. When discussing personal fouls, the Islanders walked away with 17 while East Texas A&M racked up 17 personal fouls.

Sheldon Williams is someone who was a major contributor in the game. He accounted for 19 points on 7 out of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 27 minutes and also grabbed 7 rebounds. He shot 77.8% from the field and also distributed 2 dimes.

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Texas A&M-Corpus Christi heads into this contest with a mark of 17-14 on the year. They turn the ball over 13.0 times per game and as a group they are committing 20.4 fouls every game. As a unit, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 411 dimes so far this season, which ranks 250th in the nation in terms of passing. The Islanders are shooting 34.8% on three-point attempts (194 of 558) and 67.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 72.9 pts per game (263rd in Division 1) while shooting 45.4% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Islanders are forcing their opponents into 14.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.5 fouls. They are currently ranked 23rd in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 340 relinquished on the season. The Islanders defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.0% (701 of 1,629) and they relinquish 32.3 boards per game as a unit. They surrender 30.5% from beyond the arc while they are 43rd in college hoops in opponents points per game (68.2).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks walked away with a victory by a final of 76-68 when they played Incarnate Word. When discussing how they attacked the glass, Stephen F. Austin allowed Incarnate Word to snag 25 overall (5 on the offensive glass). They finished 28.0% from beyond the perimeter by going 7 of 25 and finished the contest at 3 out of 9 at the free throw line (33.3%). The Lumberjacks allowed Incarnate Word to bury 29 out of their 59 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 49.2% in this matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Lumberjacks went 27 for 56 from the field which had them at 48.2%. When discussing shots from downtown, Stephen F. Austin knocked down 12 out of 24 attempts (50.0%). They were able to convert 10 of them for a clip of 66.7%. Incarnate Word earned 12 fouls in this contest which took the Lumberjacks to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They turned the ball over 7 times, while earning 3 steals for the contest. The Lumberjacks earned 26 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 34 in this contest.

Lateef Patrick Jr. ended up being important for the Lumberjacks for the game. He made 8 out of 11 for the game for a field goal rate of 72.7%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He accumulated 28 points in his 33 minutes on the court and accounted for 1 assist in this matchup.

Stephen F. Austin has a win-loss record of 27-4 on the season. The Lumberjacks are committing 16.1 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 67.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 13.9 times per contest (177th in college) and they are turning it over 9.2 times per game. Stephen F. Austin has scored 2,401 pts for the year (77.5 per game) and they average 38.1 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lumberjacks are shooting 45.2% from the field, which is 190th in the nation.

The Lumberjacks on the defensive side of the court are 16th in college hoops in PPG given up with 65.9. They are able to force 11.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.0% from the floor (60th in D-1). The Stephen F. Austin defense allows 29.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (179 of 616) and their opponents are connecting on 71.8% of their free throw attempts. They give up 10.9 assists and 32.8 rebounds per contest, which is 23rd and 85th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas A&M-Corpus Christi

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