UMass Lowell River Hawks vs UMBC Retrievers Prediction, 3/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Lowell River Hawks vs UMBC Retrievers

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD

TV: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers (22-8) are hosting the UMass Lowell River Hawks (15-17) at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena on Tuesday in the America East Semifinals.

The UMass Lowell River Hawks took the court against Albany and notched a win by a score of 81-76 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the River Hawks ended up finishing with 7 and Albany totaled 16 personal fouls. They buried 10 out of their 26 tries from beyond the arc. Albany finished the game shooting 40.0% at the charity stripe by knocking down 2 of 5 attempts. On top of that, Albany had 36 boards (16 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Albany distributed 12 dimes and had 8 steals in this matchup. With respect to the defense, UMass Lowell allowed 45.1% from the field on 32 of 71 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists in this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With respect to pulling down boards, they compiled 32 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the River Hawks buried 14 of their 18 tries for a rate of 77.8%. UMass Lowell wrapped up the game having earned a 46.8% FG percentage (29 of 62) and made 9 out of their 21 3-point shots.

Angel Montas is one guy who was important in this game. He notched 28 points on 10 out of 23 shooting. He was on the court for 40 mins and also snagged 7 rebounds. He finished the game at 43.5% from the floor and also earned 1 assist.

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UMass Lowell heads into this one with a record of 15-17 for the year. They are averaging 75.1 points per contest (203rd in the nation) while going 46.4% from the field. The River Hawks are connecting on 32.1% on 3-point shots (186 of 579) and 66.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, UMass Lowell is pulling down 37.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 406 dimes this year, which is 256th in the country in terms of passing. They are turning it over 12.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 14.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the River Hawks are able to force 10.1 turnovers per game while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. They currently rank 213th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 431 surrendered for the season. The River Hawks are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.1% (907 of 1,969) and they surrender 32.8 rebounds per game as a team. They are giving up 33.4% on shots from downtown while they are 235th in college hoops in PPG allowed (75.8).

The last time they took the court, the UMBC Retrievers went home victorious with a score of 84-69 when they faced New Hampshire. Regarding rebounds, UMBC allowed New Hampshire to get 29 in total (6 offensive). They finished shooting 36.0% from three-point range by hitting 9 of 25 and finished the game at 8 out of 16 from the free throw line (50.0%). The Retrievers allowed New Hampshire to make 26 out of 55 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.3% in this matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Retrievers walked away from this one shooting 27 out of 53 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.9%. Regarding 3-point attempts, UMBC converted 13 out of 28 tries (46.4%). They were able to make 17 of them for a rate of 94.4%. New Hampshire committed 16 fouls in the game which got the Retrievers to the charity stripe for 18 shots. They also turned it over 7 times, while getting 4 steals in this game. The Retrievers recorded 27 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 for this contest.

Ace Valentine ended up being important for the Retrievers for this contest. He totaled 23 points in his 32 minutes on the court and had 4 assists in this game. He made 7 out of 11 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and earned 5 rebounds.

UMBC has a win-loss mark of 22-8 for the season. The Retrievers have committed 13.5 fouls per contest and they connect on 75.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.3 times per game (296th in Division 1) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.7 times per contest. UMBC has accumulated 2,274 points for the season (75.8 per game) and they grab 35.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Retrievers are hitting on 47.1% from the field, which ranks 71st in college.

The Retrievers on the defensive side of the court are 32nd in D-1 in PPG allowed with 67.2. They are forcing 10.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 42.6% from the field (89th in Division 1). The UMBC defense gives up 31.3% on shots from distance (203 of 648) and their opponents are connecting on 67.5% of their foul shots. They surrender 10.7 dimes and 33.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 14th and 95th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UMBC

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