UNLV Rebels vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 3/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Friday, March 6, 2026

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The UNLV Rebels (16-14) are traveling to Viejas Arena on Friday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego State Aztecs (19-10).

The UNLV Rebels took the court against Utah State and walked away with a win by a score of 92-65 in their last game. UNLV walked away from the game having earned a 57.6% FG percentage (34 out of 59) and knocked down 10 out of their 25 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Rebels buried 14 of 17 attempts for a percentage of 82.4%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 35 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 21 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and getting 4 steals. Pertaining to the defense, UNLV allowed their opponent to shoot 37.7% from the field on 23 out of 61 shooting. Utah State recorded 15 assists and had 6 steals for the contest. On top of that, Utah State had 27 rebounds (9 offensive, 18 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Utah State ended up shooting 70.0% at the charity stripe by making 14 of 20 tries. They also made 5 of 30 tries from long range. With respect to personal fouls, the Rebels walked away with 17 while Utah State accounted for 18 personal fouls.

Kimani Hamilton is a guy who was important for the contest. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 10 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes and also grabbed 7 boards. He walked away from this one shooting 71.4% from the floor and recorded 3 dimes.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

UNLV will play this contest with a record of 16-14 this year. They cough up possession 12.0 times per contest and as a group they are committing 21.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, UNLV is grabbing 35.1 boards per game and has 432 assists so far this year, which ranks 158th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Rebels are shooting 34.4% on shots from beyond the arc (217 of 630) and 69.2% from the charity stripe. They average 80.0 points per game (87th in college hoops) while going 47.2% from the floor.

On defense, the Rebels are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 304th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (78.5). The Rebels are giving up a FG percentage of 45.4% (775 of 1,706) and they concede 34.6 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 269th in college in giving up assists with 442 surrendered for the campaign.

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs took a loss by a score of 86-77 against Boise State. When it comes to rebounding, San Diego State permitted Boise State to snag 35 in all (11 offensive). They went 48.0% from 3-point land via 12 of 25 and ended up going 26 of 33 at the free throw line (78.8%). The Aztecs allowed Boise State to convert 24 of 46 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.2% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Aztecs shot 27 for 55 from the floor which had them sitting at 49.1%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, San Diego State made 6 out of 16 attempts (37.5%). They were able to make 17 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 85.0%. Boise State had 16 fouls for the game which took the Aztecs to the free throw line for 20 shots. They coughed up the ball 7 times, while getting 3 steals for the matchup. The Aztecs were able to snag 13 defensive boards and 1 offensive boards for a total of 14 in the matchup.

Reese Dixon-Waters ended up being a major contributor for the Aztecs in the game. He made 8 out of 14 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and totaled 2 rebounds. He scored 23 points in his 30 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

San Diego State has a record of 19-10 this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aztecs are connecting on 47.5% from the field, which is ranked 51st in Division 1. San Diego State has 2,294 points this season (79.1 per contest) and they pull down 35.0 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.4 times per contest (95th in D-1) and they lose possession via turnover 12.0 times per contest. The Aztecs have committed 19.2 fouls per contest while shooting 75.0% from the free throw line.

The Aztecs on defense are ranked 102nd in college in PPG given up with 71.0. They are able to force 14.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.9% from the floor (18th in the nation). The San Diego State defense gives up 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc (264 of 797) and their opposition knocks down 73.8% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 13.2 dimes and 33.8 boards per contest, which ranks them 174th and 147th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UNLV

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.