Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 3/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Arkansas (+3)

The Arkansas Razorbacks (24-8) host the Vanderbilt Commodores (25-7) at Bridgestone Arena on Sunday in the SEC Tournament Final. Arkansas opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 167.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores played Tennessee and walked away with a win by a score of 75-68 in their last game. Vanderbilt wrapped up the contest having earned a 40.4% FG percentage (23 of 57) and made 7 of their 27 three-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Commodores knocked down 22 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 84.6%. When talking about getting rebounds, they earned 29 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 13 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When talking about the defense, Vanderbilt allowed 37.5% from the floor on 24 out of 64 shooting. Tennessee recorded 12 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Furthermore, Tennessee snagged 43 boards (22 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Tennessee finished the game shooting 61.5% from the charity stripe by making 16 of their 26 tries. They also converted 4 of 17 attempts from distance. In regard to fouls, the Commodores walked away with 19 and Tennessee had 22 fouls.

Duke Miles is one guy who was a factor in the game. He left the arena with 30 points on 11 of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 33 minutes and collected 6 rebounds. He went 78.6% from the field and totaled 5 assists.

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Vanderbilt comes into this matchup with a mark of 25-7 this season. They average 86.6 pts per contest (13th in college hoops) while going 47.7% from the field. The Commodores are shooting 35.1% from downtown (303 of 864) and 78.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, Vanderbilt is collecting 35.8 boards per game and has racked up 522 assists on the year, which is 67th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 9.6 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Commodores are forcing their opponents into 12.8 turnovers per game and they draw 19.3 personal fouls. They are 32nd in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 362 conceded this year. The Commodores defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 42.3% (794 of 1,877) and they relinquish 34.8 boards per game as a team. They are conceding 31.2% from beyond the arc and they are 216th in the country in points per game allowed (74.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Arkansas Razorbacks walked away with a victory by a final of 82-79 when they faced Oklahoma. The Razorbacks corralled 23 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 33 for the game. They also coughed it up 7 times, while getting 7 steals in this game. Oklahoma had 18 fouls in this matchup which got the Razorbacks to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They were able to knock down 18 of the free throws for a percentage of 81.8%. In relation to shooting from distance, Arkansas knocked down 8 out of 21 attempts (38.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Razorbacks went 28 for 64 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.8%. The Razorbacks allowed Oklahoma to convert 29 out of their 65 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 44.6% in the game. They shot 25.0% from beyond the arc by going 4 of 16 and finished the game at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). Concerning rebounding, Arkansas permitted Oklahoma to grab 33 in total (10 offensive).

Darius Acuff Jr. ended up having an impact for the Razorbacks for the game. He buried 11 out of 21 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 52.4%, and had 5 rebounds. He recorded 37 points in his 40 mins on the hardwood and tallied 5 assists in this game.

Arkansas has a win-loss record of 24-8 this season. The Razorbacks are responsible for committing 17.2 fouls every game and they hit 74.7% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per game (31st in college) and they turn the ball over 9.0 times per game. Arkansas has scored 2,879 pts this year (90.0 per contest) and they pull down 35.8 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Razorbacks are hitting on 50.1% from the field, which is 13th in the country.

The Razorbacks defensively are ranked 331st in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 79.9. They are able to force 11.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (254th in D-1). The Arkansas defense allows 31.4% on shots from distance (244 of 777) and their opponents are converting on 71.2% of their foul shots. They concede 14.6 dimes and 34.7 rebounds per game, which is 275th and 209th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas (+3)

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