Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers - 12/7/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers
Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019
Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA
Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+180) Flyers (-200)
Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (16-8-5, 3rd in the Metropolitan Division) play the Ottawa Senators (12-16-1, 7th in the Atlantic Division) at Wells Fargo Center on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The Flyers open this matchup at -200 while the Senators are priced at +180. The O/U is set at 6. The Senators are covering 41.4% of the time, having gone 12-17 SU. The Flyers are covering 50.0% of the time, going 13-13 straight up.
The Ottawa Senators head into this matchup holding a record of 12 victories and 16 defeats, which puts them at 7th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 76 goals which ranks them 13th in the East and 25th in the league. Their goal differential is -14, which puts them at 25th in the league. The Senators have earned a total of 25 points, which ranks them 28th in the league and 14th in the conference. When it comes to shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 875 which ranks them 12th in the East and 23rd in the league. As a group, Ottawa has compiled a total of 575 hits which means they are averaging 19.8 per game. They have earned a total of 315 blocks for the year. Protecting the goal for Ottawa is Anders Nilsson from Park Ridge, Illinois. He is 29 years old and has racked up 801 minutes minding the net this season. Nilsson is conceding an average of 3.15 GAA which has him ranked 19th in the Eastern Conference and 43rd in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he's allowed 42 goals. He has a save % of .911 which has him ranked 10th in the Eastern Conference.
The Ottawa Senators were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5 - 2 win over the Edmonton Oilers the last time they stepped on the ice. The Senators had a good offensive performance in this win. For this game, they scored on 5 of the 25 shots they put on goal. Moreover, they had 2 power play attempts and scored 1 goal out of those chances. Ottawa had 14 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 34 and the Corsi against was 35 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 49.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 26 while the Fenwick against was 28, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 48.1%. They took 18 face-off wins and were beaten on 17 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 54.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 116.0 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Edmonton Oilers racked up a total of 26 shots. They had a total of 6 penalty minutes and they notched 7 power play attempts.
The Flyers will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the season they have 16 victories and 8 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they are currently sitting 5th in the East and 8th in the league with +12. They have compiled a total of 89 goals for this season which ranks them 8th in the conference. Philadelphia has a save % as a team of .908 which is good for 13th in the league, meaning there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.3% which puts them at 9th in the Eastern Conference. In net for Philadelphia is Carter Hart who is having a marginal year by allowing 2.35 GAA and that places him 5th in the Eastern Conference and 9th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 972 minutes he has been on the ice, he's given up 38 goals. He holds a save % of .910, which places him at 11th in the Eastern Conference and 25th in the NHL among goaltenders.
The Philadelphia Flyers faced the Arizona Coyotes in a game where the Flyers were on the wrong end of the score by a final score of 3 - 1. For this matchup, Philadelphia went home with a 63.4% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 45 while their opponent had a Corsi of 26. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 60.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 29 and the Coyotes earning a 19 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Philadelphia had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. Their PDO was 95.9 and they had an oZS percentage of 55.6%. The Flyers notched 1 goal out of the 29 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 power play opportunities in this game but didn't put one in the back of the net. In discussing their opponent, the Coyotes had 4 power play attempts and went on to score 2 goals. Philadelphia gave up 18 shots on goal and the Coyotes had 6 penalty minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-200)
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