St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo Sabres - 12/10/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres
Date: Tuesday, December 10, 2019
Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Blues (-135) Sabres (+122)
Jordan Binnington and the St. Louis Blues (18-7-6, 1st in the Central Division) head to KeyBank Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Buffalo Sabres (14-11-6, 3rd in the Atlantic Division). The odds on this game have the Blues coming in at -135 and the Sabres are at +122. The over/under has been set at 5.5. The Blues cover 58.1% of the time, having gone 18-13 SU. The Sabres cover 43.3% of the time, going 13-17 straight up.
The St. Louis Blues head into this game holding a record of 18 wins and 7 losses, which puts them at 1st in the Central Division. So far this season, they have converted a total of 92 goals which has them sitting at 5th in the conference and 16th in the league. Their goal differential is +12, which puts them at 8th in the league. The Blues have a total of 42 points, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league and 1st in the Western Conference. When talking about shots at the opposing goalie, they have a total of 912 which has them sitting at 12th in the West and 22nd in the league. As a unit, St. Louis has racked up a total of 508 hits which has them averaging 16.4 per contest. They have a total of 277 blocks for the season. The goalie for St. Louis is Jordan Binnington from Richmond Hill, Ontario. He is 26 years old and has totaled 1,346 mins minding the net for the year. Binnington is surrendering an average of 2.45 goals per contest which places him at 7th among West goalies and 13th in the NHL among goalies. For the year, he's surrendered 55 goals. He has a save percentage of .921 which places him at 8th among West goalies.
The St. Louis Blues will look for better times on the ice after their 5 - 2 defeat against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their previous game. The Blues had a below average offensive outing in this defeat. For this game, they finished 2 of the 28 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. St. Louis ended up with a total of 9 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Blues sat at 39 and the Corsi against was 38 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 50.6%. Their Fenwick was 29 while the Fenwick against sat at 21, which tells us they had a rate of 58.0%. They earned 17 face-off wins at even strength and lost 14 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 45.0% and they had a PDO of 97.8 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Toronto Maple Leafs earned 27 shots. They finished with a total of 13 penalty mins and they earned 2 power play attempts.
The Sabres are the team on the other side of the ice and for the current year they have 14 wins and 11 defeats. When it comes to goal differential, they are ranked 10th in the East and 18th in the NHL with +1. They currently have a total of 95 goals for the year which ranks 8th in the conference. Buffalo has a save percentage as a team of .906 which currently has them ranked 17th in the NHL, meaning scoring chances could present themselves. They have a shooting percentage of 10.0% ranking them 6th in the conference. In goal for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark who is having an average year by giving up 2.88 GAA and that ranks him 14th among East goaltenders and 28th in the NHL among goalies. In the 959 minutes he's been on the ice, he's given up 46 goals. He's earned a save % of .914, which ranks him 9th among East goaltenders and 19th in the NHL among goalies.
The Buffalo Sabres went up against the Edmonton Oilers in a matchup where the Sabres got the win by a final of 3 - 2. In this game, Buffalo earned a 60.0% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 39 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 26. Their Fenwick percentage was 58.7% by notching a Fenwick of 27 and the Oilers having a 19 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Buffalo had and we'd say they played an average game. Their PDO was 110.5 and they had an oZS percentage of 65.0%. The Sabres notched 3 goals of the 22 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this outing but were not able to net one. On the other side of the ice, the Oilers had 3 power play chances and ended up scoring 1 goal. Buffalo gave way to 28 shots on goal and the Oilers earned a total of 6 minutes in the box.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (+122)
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