Lightning vs Flyers Predictions, Picks, Tips 1/11/2020

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2020

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NSP+/SunS

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-145) Flyers (+131)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Wells Fargo Center is the venue where Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (23-15-6, 5th in the Metropolitan Division) will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (26-13-4, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Lightning priced at -145 and the Flyers are at +131. The O/U opens at 6. The Lightning cover 59.5% of the time, having gone 25-17 SU. The Flyers cover 47.5% of the time, going 19-21 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning head into this game holding a record of 26 victories and 13 defeats, ranking them 2nd in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have earned a total of 159 goals which has them at 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +32, ranking them 2nd in the NHL. The Lightning currently have a total of 56 pts, which has them at 6th in the NHL and 5th in the conference. When it comes to shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 1,402 which has them at 9th in the East and 15th in the NHL. As a group, Tampa Bay currently has a total of 945 hits which means they are averaging 22 per contest. They currently have a total of 418 blocks for this season. The man in net for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has totaled 1,919 minutes in goal for the campaign. Vasilevskiy is allowing 2.66 goals against average which has him sitting 10th among East goalies and 17th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's surrendered 85 goals. He holds a save percentage of .913 which has him sitting 9th among East goalies.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning had a good night with a 4 - 0 victory over the Arizona Coyotes in their previous game. The Lightning had a good offensive outing and it showed in this win. In this matchup, they converted 4 of the 34 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 1 power play opportunity but didn't get a goal. Tampa Bay racked up 6 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Lightning sat at 54 and the Corsi against was 37 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 59.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 42 while the Fenwick against was 31, giving them a rate of 57.5%. They earned 35 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 57.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 112.9 for this game. When it comes to their opponent, the Arizona Coyotes earned 25 shots. They ended the game with 4 minutes in the box and they tallied 2 power play chances.

The Flyers are the team looking to add points to their total and for the season they sit with 23 wins and 15 losses. With reference to goal differential, they are sitting 9th in the East and 14th in the NHL with +5. They have compiled a total of 136 goals for the season which has them ranked at 10th in the East. Philadelphia has a team save percentage of .897 which has them ranked 23rd in the NHL, meaning there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.7% ranking them 9th in the conference. In net for Philadelphia is Carter Hart who is having an average year by surrendering 2.58 goals against average and that ranks him 8th in the East and 15th in the NHL. In the 1,579 mins he has played this season, he's surrendered 68 goals. He's earned a save % of .906, which ranks him 17th in the East and 36th in the NHL.

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The Philadelphia Flyers faced off against the Washington Capitals in an outing where the Flyers ended up with the victory by a final score of 3 - 2. In their game, Philadelphia went home with a 53.1% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 43 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 38. They had a Fenwick percentage of 54.7% by notching a Fenwick of 35 and the Capitals earning a 29 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Philadelphia played and it tells us they had an average game overall. They had a PDO of 98.9 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 55.6%. The Flyers converted 3 goals of the 27 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play chances in this outing but were not able to net one. Concerning their opponent, the Capitals had 5 power play opportunities but didn't tally a goal. Philadelphia conceded 28 shots on goal and the Capitals ended up with 14 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-145)

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