Penguins vs Lightning Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/6/2020
Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Thursday, February 6, 2020
Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+144) Lightning (-160)
Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (33-14-5, 2nd in the Metropolitan Division) travel to Amalie Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-15-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division). The Lightning open this game at -160 while the Penguins are coming in at +144. The total opens at 6.5. The Penguins are covering 61.2% of the time, having gone 30-19 SU. The Lightning are covering 60.8% of the time, going 31-20 straight up.
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into the game holding a record of 33 victories and 14 defeats, which is good for 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. Thus far in the season, they have scored a total of 173 goals which has them at 6th in the conference and 8th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +31, which is good for 5th in the NHL. The Penguins currently have a total of 71 pts, which has them at 5th in the NHL and 4th in the conference. When it comes to shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 1,672 which has them at 8th in the conference and 15th in the NHL. As a team, Pittsburgh has earned a total of 1,387 hits which means they are averaging 26.7 per game. They currently have a total of 596 blocks for the year. The man between the pipes for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry from Surrey, British Columbia. He is 24 years old and has totaled 1,508 mins minding the goal this year. Jarry is allowing 2.19 GAA which puts him at 2nd among East goalies and 3rd in the NHL among goalies. Over the course of this year, he has given up 55 goals. He's earned a save % of .928 which puts him at 4th among East goalies.
The Pittsburgh Penguins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 3 victory over the Washington Capitals their last time out. The Penguins had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the win. While out there on the ice, they scored on 4 of the 33 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 6 power play attempts but weren't able to net one. Pittsburgh racked up a total of 10 penalty mins in their game. The Corsi for the Penguins sat at 29 and the Corsi against was 66 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 30.5%. Their Fenwick was 25 and the Fenwick against was 48, which means they earned a rate of 34.2%. They took 25 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 30.7% and they had a PDO of 107.4 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Washington Capitals tallied a total of 32 shots. They had a total of 16 penalty minutes and they earned a total of 3 power play chances.
The Lightning will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they sit with 33 wins and 15 defeats. With regard to goal differential, they rank 2nd in the conference and 2nd in the NHL with +43. They currently have a total of 190 goals for the season which has them at 2nd in the East. Tampa Bay has a save % as a team of .911 which has them 7th in the NHL, meaning they are a tough team to score against. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.4% ranking them 1st in the conference. In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an average campaign by allowing 2.53 goals per game and that places him 10th among East goaltenders and 16th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,346 mins he has been on the ice this year, he's allowed 99 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .917, which puts him at 9th among East goaltenders and 18th in the NHL among goaltenders.
The Tampa Bay Lightning went up against the Vegas Golden Knights in a game where the Lightning notched a victory by a final of 4 - 2. For this matchup, Tampa Bay earned a 39.5% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 32 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 49. Their Fenwick rate was 35.0% by notching a Fenwick of 21 and the Golden Knights finishing with a 39 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and they put on a good performance in this one. They had a PDO at even strength of 119.5 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 22.1%. The Lightning scored 4 goals out of the 18 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play attempt in this game but were not able to net one. Regarding the opposition, the Golden Knights had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to take advantage of it. Tampa Bay gave up 29 shots on goal and the Golden Knights ended up with a total of 4 penalty mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-160)
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