Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 11/24/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres
Date: Wednesday, November 24, 2021
Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY
TV: MSG Network
Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (-235) Sabres (+190)
KeyBank Center is the site where Dustin Tokarski and the Buffalo Sabres (7-9-2) will play the Boston Bruins (9-6-0) on Wednesday. The Sabres open this contest at +190 while the Bruins are coming in at -235. The over/under has been set at 5.5.
The Bruins had a rough game after their 4-0 loss to the Flames in their last contest. The Bruins had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the defeat. In the game, they weren't able to convert any of the 28 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Boston earned 6 penalty mins in this contest. The Corsi for the Bruins came in at 45 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 45 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 50.0%. Their Fenwick was 33 and the Fenwick Against sat at 33, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They tallied 25 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 22 opportunities to win the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they were at 59.5% and their PDO rating was 87.0 for this matchup.
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In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Boston Bruins have tallied 45 goals (24th in the league) for the season and have surrendered 43. For the season, they have 18 points and their points percentage sits at .600. Boston comes into the game with 46 power play chances and they have notched 10 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 21.74%. When playing at even strength, the Bruins have surrendered 35 goals while notching 35 on the offensive side of the ice. Boston has attempted 532 shots and holds a shot percentage of 8.5%. The Bruins have had 428 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .900. Boston Bruins opponents have amassed 48 power play opportunities (27th in professional hockey) and have a total of 8 goals in those attempts.
Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. Throughout his time in hockey, Ullmark has accumulated 66 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .555. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 7,095 minutes between the pipes. Ullmark has had 3,744 shot attempts against him and has accrued 3,415 saves. The opposition has notched 329 goals against Ullmark in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 2.78. He has earned a win-loss record of 54-50-13 and he was named the starter in 119 games. Ullmark has been involved in 124 contests over the course of his hockey career.
In their last outing, Buffalo squared up with the Blue Jackets in a game where the Sabres took the loss by a score of 7-4. Their PDO at even strength was 82 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 39.0%. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and scored 2 goals out of those chances. Their Fenwick percentage was 47.4% by tallying a Fenwick of 36 and the Blue Jackets having a 40 Fenwick. The Sabres netted 4 goals of the 33 shots on goal they pursued. Buffalo had a 48.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo had and it was an excellent showing for this outing.
The Sabres have tallied 41 goals at even strength and 11 goals (12th in hockey) while on the power play. Buffalo has tried 511 shots (21st in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.18%, while allowing the opposition 591 shots. Over the course of the season, the Buffalo Sabres have 52 goals, 16 points, in addition to a points percentage of .444. They have recorded 51 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 21.57%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 79.59% on the other teams 49 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.7%. They have allowed 61 goals to be scored by way of 51 goals at even strength and 10 goals while they had less men on the ice.
Across the rink you are going to see Dustin Tokarski protecting the net. Tokarski holds a career record of 15-24-9 and has participated in 57 games. Tokarski's quality start percentage sits at 44.7% and he has accumulated 21 quality starts in his pro career. He has recorded 1,440 saves out of the 1,594 shots attempted against him, which gives him a percentage of .903. His opposition is averaging 3.11 goals/game and he has relinquished 154 goals altogether. He has started in 47 games and his ice time sits at 2,970 mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Boston (-235)
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