Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 4/22/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres
Date: Thursday, April 22, 2021
Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (-330) Sabres (+270)
Jeremy Swayman and the Boston Bruins (26-12-6) go to KeyBank Center on Thursday where they'll meet the Buffalo Sabres (12-27-7). The Sabres open this game at +270 while the Bruins are priced at -330. The O/U has been set at 5.5.
The Bruins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2-0 win over the Sabres their last time out. The Corsi for the Bruins came in at 58 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 42 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 58.0%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 41.8% and they had a PDO of 105.9 for this game. Boston accumulated 8 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Bruins could have played much better offensively in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick against was 32, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 57.3%. They accounted for 26 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 16 attempts to control the puck. Furthermore, they had 4 power play attempts but didn't convert them into a score. For the game, they scored on 2 of the 41 shots they put on net.
The Bruins have had 1,218 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .911. When playing at even strength, the Bruins have allowed the opponent to score 87 goals while getting 94 on the offensive side of the ice. Boston Bruins opponents have 153 power play tries (1st in the league) and have a total of 21 goals in those attempts. For the year, they sit with 58 points and their points percentage is sitting at .659. Boston has attempted 1,430 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.6%. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Boston Bruins have earned 123 goals (19th in the National Hockey League) for the year and have allowed 108. Boston has tallied 136 power play opportunities and they have tallied 29 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 21.32%.
Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jeremy Swayman. Over the course of his pro career, Swayman has earned 4 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .800. His save percentage is .938 during his 304 minutes played. Swayman has seen 146 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 137 saves. The opposition has racked up 9 goals versus Swayman in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 1.78. He has amassed a record of 4-1-0 and he was named the starter in 5 games. Swayman has taken the ice for 5 games throughout his pro hockey career.
In their loss to Boston, Buffalo had 6 chances on the power play in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Sabres recorded 0 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 94 and they earned an oZS percentage of 58.2%. Buffalo wound up with a 42.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Buffalo played and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 42.7% by notching a Fenwick of 32 and the Bruins ending the game with a 43 Fenwick.
This season, the Buffalo Sabres are sitting with 108 goals, 31 points, and a points percentage of .337. They have permitted 153 goals to be scored by of a combination of 128 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Sabres have racked up 84 goals at even strength and 24 goals (23rd in the NHL) while on the power play. They have recorded 118 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 20.34%. Buffalo has tried 1,284 shots (26th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 8.41%, while allowing the opposition 1,517 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.99% on their opponents 119 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 89.9%.
For the opposition you are likely to see Dustin Tokarski defending the net. He has accrued 1,094 stops out of the 1,204 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .909. Tokarski is the owner of a career record of 12-18-7 and has been in net for 44 games. He has been a starter 35 games and has played 2,283 mins. Tokarski's quality start rate is 48.6% and he has 17 quality starts in his NHL career. Teams are averaging 2.89 goals/game and he has relinquished 110 goals in total.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (+270)
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