Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/19/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Friday, March 19, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+145) Maple Leafs (-161)
Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-9-2) play the Calgary Flames (14-13-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. The Flames open this contest at +145 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -161. The total opens at 6.5.
The Flames will need a bounce back game after taking a 7-3 loss against the Oilers in their previous game. The Flames had an average offensive outing in the defeat. In the outing, they finished 3 of the 33 shots they launched. In addition, they had 3 chances on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. Calgary had 6 penalty mins in this contest. The Corsi for the Flames was 46 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 32 which means they had a Corsi rate of 59.0%. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against finished at 28, giving them a Fenwick rate of 54.8%. They recorded 18 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 23 opportunities to win the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 68.4% and they had a PDO of 89.5 in this game.
Calgary Flames opponents have 98 power play opportunities (7th in professional hockey) and have a total of 21 goals in those attempts. The Flames have had 906 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .900. Calgary has tried 898 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.1%. While playing at even strength, the Flames have conceded 70 goals while getting 60 on the offensive side of the ice. Calgary comes into the game with 107 power play opportunities and they have scored 22 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 20.56%. For the season, they have 31 points and their points percentage sits at .517. In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have earned 82 goals (20th in the league) this year and have allowed 91.
The man protecting the goal in this game is Jacob Markstrom. Opponents have notched 779 goals against Markstrom in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.81. Markstrom has participated in 293 games throughout his hockey career. His save percentage is at .910 during his 16,629 mins guarding the cage. He has a mark of 121-126-34 and he has started in 277 games. For his career, Markstrom has accrued 144 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .520. Markstrom has had 8,667 shots taken against him and has gathered 7,888 total saves.
In their last contest, Toronto squared up with the Senators in a matchup where the Maple Leafs took the loss by a final score of 4-3. Toronto went home with a 59.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto had and you might say they looked run of the mill in this one. Their Fenwick rate came in at 57.3% by amassing a Fenwick of 51 and the Senators having accrued a 38 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 96 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 66.5%. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals of the 36 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play attempt in this one but weren't able to notch a goal.
The Maple Leafs have accumulated 76 goals at even strength and 26 goals (4th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has put up 919 shots (7th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.10%, while allowing the other team 859 shots. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 102 goals, 40 points, in addition to a points percentage of .667. They have earned 87 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 29.89%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 75.58% on the other teams 86 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.8%. They have allowed 79 goals to be scored by way of 58 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they were shorthanded.
Across the rink you are likely to see Frederik Andersen defending the goal. He is sitting with 10,736 stops out of 11,725 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .916. Andersen is the owner of a career record of 226-99-47 and has been in goal for 391 games. He has started in 379 games and his ice time sits at 22,481 minutes. Andersen's quality start percentage sits at 57.3% and he has 217 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. His opposition is averaging 2.64 goals per game and he has yielded 989 goals overall.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Calgary (+145)
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