Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 12/4/2021 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators
Date: Saturday, December 4, 2021
Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON
Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-240) Senators (+190)
Filip Gustavsson and the Ottawa Senators (5-15-1) host the Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. The Senators open this matchup at +190 while the Avalanche are priced at -240. The O/U opens at 6.
The Avalanche went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-1 victory against the Canadiens their last time on the ice. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 56.9% and their PDO was 113.0 in this game. They recorded 20 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 29 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 36 and the Fenwick against finished at 24, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 60.0%. The Corsi for the Avalanche was sitting at 52 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 34 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 60.5%. Colorado accrued 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. They also had 3 power play attempts but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Avalanche played really well in the victory. In the matchup, they scored on 4 of the 34 shots they put on goal.
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The Avalanche have had 600 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .892. When at even strength, the Avalanche have allowed the opponent to score 52 goals while getting 62 as an offensive unit. Colorado Avalanche opponents have earned 56 power play tries (29th in professional hockey) and have scored 13 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have recorded 25 points and their points percentage is .625. Colorado has taken 660 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 12.0%. Concerning their scoring, the Colorado Avalanche have earned 79 goals (6th in pro hockey) over the course of the season and have surrendered 65. Colorado steps onto the ice with 80 power play opportunities and they have added 17 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 21.25%.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Darcy Kuemper. In his professional hockey career, Kuemper has 134 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .558. His save percentage currently is at .916 for his 14,445 mins in the crease. Kuemper has had 7,141 shots taken against him and has gathered 6,541 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 600 goals against Kuemper in his career and his goals against rate is 2.49. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 115-88-32 and was named the starter in 240 games. Kuemper has participated in 257 contests over the course of his hockey career.
In their last contest, Ottawa faced off against the Hurricanes in a matchup where the Senators earned a win by a score of 3-2. They had a PDO at even strength of 114 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 21.3%. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing but didn't score a goal. They had a Fenwick percentage of 40.3% by compiling a Fenwick of 31 and the Hurricanes ending the game with a 46 Fenwick. The Senators netted 3 goals of the 20 shots on goal they were seeking. Ottawa earned a 39.4% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Ottawa had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either.
This season, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 51 goals, 11 points, in addition to a points percentage of .262. They have allowed 81 goals to be scored by of a combination of 63 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have tallied 39 goals at even strength and 12 goals (21st in the NHL) while on the power play. They have a total of 71 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 16.90%. Ottawa has put up 597 shots (29th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.54%, while allowing the other team 736 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 73.53% on their opponents 68 power play chances, and their save percentage is 89.0%.
On the other side of the ice you will find Filip Gustavsson protecting the goal. Gustavsson is the owner of a career mark of 8-7-3 and has played in 19 games. Gustavsson's quality start rate comes out to 62.5% and he has qualified for 10 quality starts in his professional career. He has tallied 548 saves out of 600 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .913. His opponents are averaging 2.98 goals per contest and he has allowed 52 goals altogether. He has started in 16 contests and has played 1,049 mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Colorado (-240)
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