Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 3/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings
Date: Saturday, March 20, 2021
Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI
TV: Fox Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-185) Red Wings (+166)
Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (9-10-7) are headed to Little Caesars Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Detroit Red Wings (10-17-4). The Stars open this contest at -185 while the Red Wings are priced at +166. The over/under opens at 5.5.
The Stars were on the losing side of the ice with a 3-2 defeat to the Red Wings in their last contest. The Stars left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 2 of the 40 shots they tried. In addition, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Dallas recorded 8 mins in the box for this matchup. The Corsi for the Stars came in at 45 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 36 which means they had a Corsi rate of 55.6%. Their Fenwick was 39 and the Fenwick against was 28, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 58.2%. They accounted for 22 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 21 opportunities to win the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 65.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 87.3 for this matchup.
Dallas Stars opponents have tallied 85 power play tries (24th in the league) and have earned 19 goals in those chances. The Stars have had 713 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .906. Dallas has attempted 759 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.6%. When at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 48 goals while earning 52 on the offensive side of the ice. Dallas has 89 power play chances and they have added 21 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 23.60%. For the season, they have scored 25 points and their points percentage comes in at .481. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have racked up 73 goals (25th in the league) on the campaign and have given up 67.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Khudobin. Khudobin has been in goal for 232 matchups over the course of his hockey career. He has compiled a record of 104-84-26 and he has started in 212 games. The opposition has racked up 527 goals versus Khudobin in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.47. Khudobin has seen 6,451 shot attempts against him and he has 5,924 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .918 in his 12,815 mins in the crease. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Khudobin has compiled 123 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .580.
In their win over Dallas, Detroit earned a 44.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Detroit had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. Their Fenwick rate came in at 41.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 28 and the Stars having accrued a 39 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 113 and their oZS percentage was 35.3%. The Red Wings recorded 3 goals of the 21 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this outing but didn't score a goal.
The Red Wings are sitting with 60 goals at even strength and 11 goals (28th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Detroit has tried 860 shots (18th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.26%, while allowing the opposition 979 shots. For the season, the Detroit Red Wings are sitting with 71 goals, 24 points, and a points percentage of .387. They have a total of 91 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 12.09%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 71.91% on their opponents 89 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.7%. They have permitted 101 goals to be scored by of a combination of 76 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they had less men on the ice.
On the other side of the ice you will find Jonathan Bernier defending the goal. Bernier has a lifetime mark of 160-154-38 and has participated in 387 games. Bernier's rate of quality starts sits at 53.2% and he has accumulated 185 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has compiled 10,190 stops out of 11,165 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .913. His opponents are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has yielded 975 goals in total. He has started in 348 games and his ice time sits at 21,216 mins.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-185)
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