Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 4/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars
Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021
Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX
TV: Bally Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+175) Stars (-210)
Thomas Greiss and the Detroit Red Wings (16-24-6) are headed to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (17-14-12). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Wings coming in at +175 and the Stars are at -210. The over/under is set at 5.5.
The Red Wings were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-0 defeat against the Blackhawks in the last game they played. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 52.2% and they had a PDO of 76.5 for this game. They recorded 18 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to win the face-off. Their Fenwick came in at 28 and the Fenwick against was 20, giving them a Fenwick rate of 58.3%. The Corsi for the Red Wings was 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 31 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.1%. Detroit had 12 penalty mins in this game. Additionally, they had 6 power play tries but weren't able to score. The Red Wings could have played much better offensively in the defeat. In the game, they walked away having not converted any of the 29 shots they looked to score on.
When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Detroit Red Wings have racked up 102 goals (29th in pro hockey) for the year and have given up 144. For the season, they have 38 points and their points percentage sits at .413. Detroit comes into tonight with 132 power play chances and they have scored 15 goals out of those tries, garnering them a percentage of 11.36%. When playing at even strength, the Red Wings have conceded 114 goals while notching 87 on the offensive side of the ice. Detroit has attempted 1,271 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.0%. The Red Wings have had 1,428 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .899. Detroit Red Wings opponents have totaled 131 power play opportunities (19th in the league) and have scored 30 goals in those chances.
The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Thomas Greiss. The opposition has notched 738 goals versus Greiss in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.66. Greiss has played in 310 contests throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is .913 for his 16,621 mins between the pipes. He has a win-loss record of 142-105-34 and was named the starter in 272 games. During his career on the ice, Greiss has earned 150 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .551. Greiss has had 8,509 shots against him and has accrued 7,771 total saves.
When they were on the ice last, Dallas faced the Blue Jackets in an outing where the Stars took home the victory by a score of 5-1. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to notch a goal. The Stars notched 5 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking. They had a PDO at even strength of 111 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 46.9%. Dallas went home with a 60.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Dallas had and it tells us that they played really well in this game. Their Fenwick rate was 63.8% by compiling a Fenwick of 44 and the Blue Jackets earning a 25 Fenwick at even strength.
Dallas has taken 1,263 shots (25th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.58%, while allowing the other team 1,168 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 78.69% on their opponents 122 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 91.2%. They have earned 130 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 23.85%. The Stars have accumulated 90 goals at even strength and 31 goals (10th in the league) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 103 goals to be scored by of a combination of 77 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Dallas Stars have a total of 121 goals, 46 points, in addition to a points percentage of .535.
Across the ice you are likely to see Jake Oettinger in the crease. Oettinger has a career record of 8-5-6 and has been in net for 22 contests. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts sits at 52.6% and he has made 10 quality starts in his pro career. He has recorded 499 stops out of 543 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .919. His opposition is averaging 2.16 goals/game and he has relinquished 44 goals overall. He has been a starter 19 contests and has played 1,221 mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (-210)
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