Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens
Date: Monday, April 5, 2021
Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC
Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (+100) Canadiens (-132)
Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (16-9-9) play the Edmonton Oilers (23-14-1) at Bell Centre on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Oilers coming in at +100 and the Canadiens are at -132. The total opens at 6.
The Oilers went home feeling good about their game by earning a 3-2 win against the Flames in their previous game. The Corsi for the Oilers was 33 and the Corsi against was 45 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 42.3%. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 54.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 96.6 in this one. Edmonton compiled 12 penalty minutes for this game. The Oilers had a middle of the road offensive performance in the win. Their Fenwick came in at 24 and the Fenwick Against sat at 32, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 42.9%. They accounted for 12 face-off victories when at even strength and lost on 24 opportunities to win the face-off. Additionally, they had 5 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to score 2 goals. For the game, they earned a goal on 3 out of the 25 shots they looked to score on.
The Oilers have had 1,174 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .907. While playing at even strength, the Oilers let the opposition score 85 goals while having 93 of their own. Edmonton Oilers opponents have tallied 109 power play opportunities (21st in pro hockey) and have a total of 24 goals in those attempts. For the year, they have recorded 47 points and their points percentage is .618. Edmonton has tried 1,149 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.9%. In relation to their scoring, the Edmonton Oilers have racked up 125 goals (5th in the NHL) so far this year and have conceded 109. Edmonton has 121 power play opportunities and they have scored 32 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 26.45%.
Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Mike Smith. Opponents have scored 1,618 goals against Smith in his career and his goals against average is 2.70. Smith has been in net for 629 games during his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 35,913 mins guarding the cage. He has a mark of 275-251-75 and he was named the starter in 588 games. In his career, Smith has accounted for 314 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .534. Smith has seen 18,328 shots against him and has gathered 16,710 saves.
The last time they were on the ice, Montreal faced off against the Senators in an outing where the Canadiens went home in defeat by a final score of 6-3. They had a PDO at even strength of 91 and their oZS percentage was 57.7%. They had 5 opportunities on the power play in this contest and recorded 1 out of those chances. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 54.4% by amassing a Fenwick of 37 and the Senators earning a 31 Fenwick at even strength. The Canadiens earned 3 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they took. Montreal went home with a 56.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Montreal had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team.
The Canadiens have 89 goals at even strength and 21 goals (19th in the league) while on the power play. Montreal has put up 1,136 shots (9th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.68%, while allowing their opponents 966 shots. During this campaign, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 110 goals, 41 points, in addition to a points percentage of .603. They have a tally of 96 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 21.88%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.11% on the other teams 113 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 90.6%. They have permitted 91 goals to be scored by way of 64 goals at even strength and 27 goals while they had less men on the ice.
Across the ice you are likely to see Carey Price protecting the net. Price is sitting with a career record of 359-256-79 and has played in 704 games. Price's quality start percentage is 57.4% and he has 397 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has racked up 19,135 saves out of 20,867 shots taken against him, which gives him a rate of .917. Teams are averaging 2.50 goals per game and he has conceded 1,732 goals altogether. He has been a starter 692 games and has been on the ice for 41,563 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Edmonton (+100)
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