Montreal Canadiens vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 3/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Calgary Flames
Date: Thursday, March 11, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Calgary, AB
Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-104) Flames (-106)
Scotiabank Arena is the site where Jacob Markstrom and the Calgary Flames (11-12-3) will play the Montreal Canadiens (11-6-7) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Canadiens priced at -104 and the Flames are at -106. The over/under opens at 6.
The Canadiens will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-1 loss against the Canucks their last time out. The Canadiens had a below average offensive outing in the loss. In the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 1 out of the 30 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and notched 1 goal. Montreal accrued 4 mins in the box in this outing. The Corsi for the Canadiens was sitting at 61 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 45 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 57.5%. Their Fenwick came in at 39 and the Fenwick Against sat at 36, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 52.0%. They recorded 22 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 28 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 44.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 96.0 in this game.
In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Montreal Canadiens have racked up 79 goals (11th in the league) on the campaign and have surrendered 65. For the current season, they have racked up 29 points and their points percentage is .604. Montreal has accounted for 66 power play chances and they have scored 15 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 22.73%. When at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 45 goals while having 64 when they are on offense. Montreal has tried 802 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 9.9%. The Canadiens have had 693 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .906. Montreal Canadiens opponents have 89 power play tries (6th in professional hockey) and have a total of 20 goals in those chances.
The man protecting the net in this game is Jake Allen. Allen has been in net for 298 contests throughout his NHL career. He has accumulated a mark of 152-96-29 and he started in 280 games. The opposition has scored 693 goals against Allen in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.50. Allen has seen 7,948 shots against him and has garnered 7,255 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .913 during his 16,652 mins between the pipes. For his professional hockey career, Allen has accrued 153 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .546.
In their last game, Calgary faced the Senators in a game where the Flames took the loss by a tally of 4-3. They had a PDO of 90 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 70.9%. They had 8 power play attempts in this outing and scored 1 out of those tries. Their Fenwick percentage was 63.6% with a Fenwick of 35 and the Senators finishing with a 20 Fenwick at even strength. The Flames converted 3 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they took. Calgary wrapped up this game with a 64.6% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Calgary had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either.
The Flames have earned 50 goals at even strength and 20 goals (9th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Calgary has taken 773 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.06%, while allowing their opponents 802 shots. Over the course of the season, the Calgary Flames have accounted for 70 goals, 25 points, in addition to a points percentage of .481. They have a total of 95 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 21.05%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 79.78% on their opponents 89 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.1%. They have allowed 79 goals to be scored by way of 61 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice.
For the opposition you will find Jacob Markstrom in goal. Opponents are averaging 2.81 goals per game and he has allowed 767 goals altogether. Markstrom's percentage of quality starts comes out to 52.0% and he has accumulated 142 quality starts in his professional career. He has started in 273 games and has played for a total of 16,390 mins. Markstrom has earned a lifetime mark of 118-125-34 and has played in 289 games. He has accounted for 7,796 stops out of 8,563 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .910.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Calgary (-106)
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