New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 3/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals
Date: Saturday, March 20, 2021
Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC
Odds/Point Spread: Rangers (+125) Capitals (-139)
Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (19-6-4) host the New York Rangers (12-12-4) at Capital One Arena on Saturday. The Rangers open this matchup at +125 while the Capitals are priced at -139. The O/U has been set at 5.5.
The Rangers had a good night with a 9-0 win over the Flyers their last time on the ice. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 41.9% and their PDO was 130.4 in this one. They accumulated 24 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 22 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 27 and the Fenwick against was 34, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 44.3%. The Corsi for the Rangers came in at 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 44 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 46.3%. New York had 8 minutes in the box in this contest. In addition, they had 4 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal. The Rangers had a good offensive output in this win. While out there on the ice, they were able to notch a goal on 9 out of the 29 shots they put on goal.
The Rangers have had 802 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .906. When playing at even strength, the Rangers have surrendered 62 goals while scoring 69 themselves. New York Rangers opponents have tallied 92 power play tries (15th in the NHL) and have scored 13 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have recorded 28 points and their points percentage is sitting at .500. New York has tried 826 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.2%. When discussing their scoring, the New York Rangers have accounted for 84 goals (19th in the National Hockey League) on the year and have given up 75. New York has 103 power play opportunities and they have scored 15 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 14.56%.
The man protecting the goal in this game is Alexandar Georgiev. Georgiev has taken the ice for 90 games over the course of his professional hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 40-35-9 and he was named the starter in 83 games. Opponents have scored 245 goals versus Georgiev in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 3.00. Georgiev has seen 2,752 shots against him and he has 2,507 total saves. He has a save percentage of .911 during his 4,900 minutes in the crease. Over the course of his time in hockey, Georgiev has accumulated 43 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .518.
Their last time out, Washington faced the Islanders in a game where the Capitals earned a win by a final of 3-1. Washington had a 43.3% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Washington played and it tells us they had an average game overall. Their Fenwick rate came in at 47.8% with a Fenwick of 32 and the Islanders ending the game with a 35 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 105 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 47.6%. The Capitals netted 3 goals of the 22 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 4 power play chances in this outing and recorded 2 out of those attempts.
Washington has taken 820 shots (24th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 12.32%, while allowing the opposition 853 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 80.90% on the other teams 89 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.9%. They have a tally of 73 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 27.40%. The Capitals are sitting with 81 goals at even strength and 20 goals (13th in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 86 goals to be scored by of a combination of 69 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Washington Capitals have accumulated 101 goals, 42 points, in addition to a points percentage of .724.
Across the rink you are going to see Ilya Samsonov patrolling the crease. Samsonov holds a lifetime mark of 22-6-3 and has participated in 34 games. Samsonov's quality start rate comes out to 55.2% and he has qualified for 16 quality starts in his career. He has recorded 815 stops out of 894 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .912. The opposition is averaging 2.55 goals per contest and he has allowed 79 goals overall. He has started in 29 games and his ice time sits at 1,860 mins.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Washington (-139)
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